{"id":763,"date":"2008-10-11T09:04:47","date_gmt":"2008-10-11T06:04:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=763"},"modified":"2024-03-08T11:03:22","modified_gmt":"2024-03-08T08:03:22","slug":"mccainin-kaybetmesi-icin-dort-sebep-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=763","title":{"rendered":"McCain&#8217;in kaybetmesi i\u00e7in d\u00f6rt sebep (11.10.2008) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ziyareti i\u00e7in gitti\u011fim ABD&#8217;de iki konuda uzmanlarla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yapma imk\u00e2n\u0131 buldum. Bunlardan ilki, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de de hissetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ekonomik buhran. \u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131 olmamama ra\u011fmen, ABD ekonomisinde ya\u015fananlar\u0131n getirdi\u011fi y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131n -al\u0131nan t\u00fcm tedbirlere ra\u011fmen- k\u0131sa vadede giderilemeyece\u011fini m\u00fc\u015fahede ettim. S\u0131radan Amerikal\u0131dan, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck think-tank&#8217;lerinin (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu) y\u00f6neticilerine kadar herkes endi\u015feli. Buhran\u0131n belki de Amerika a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en b\u00fcy\u00fck sonucu ekonomik de\u011fil, psikolojik olacak. Amerikal\u0131n\u0131n kendine ve devlete olan g\u00fcveni 11 Eyl\u00fcl 2001 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla bir kez sars\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu kez de ekonomik buhran o g\u00fcvensizlik havas\u0131n\u0131 estiriyor. 11 Eyl\u00fcl sonras\u0131 ABD i\u00e7eride bir g\u00fcvenlik paranoyas\u0131 ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f, d\u0131\u015far\u0131da ise sald\u0131rganla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ba\u015fkan Bush, iktidar\u0131n\u0131n yedi y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fcnyan\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitli yerlerini bombalamakla ge\u00e7irmi\u015fti.<strong>SERT ADIMLAR BEKLEN\u0130YOR&nbsp;<\/strong>Ocakta g\u00f6revine ba\u015flayacak yeni ba\u015fkan\u0131n da, bu kez ekonomik buhran\u0131n getirdi\u011fi g\u00fcven azalmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcstesinden gelmek i\u00e7in, \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u00e7ok sert ad\u0131mlar atmas\u0131 beklenebilir. Nitekim bug\u00fcne kadar McCain&#8217;e g\u00f6re d\u0131\u015f politikada \u00e7ok daha yumu\u015fak bir duru\u015f sergileyen; Irak&#8217;tan \u00e7ekilmekten, \u0130ran&#8217;la m\u00fczakere masas\u0131na oturmaktan bahseden Obama bile, se\u00e7ime 20 g\u00fcn kala sert \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar yapmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Hatta 8 Ekimde McCain ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve televizyondan canl\u0131 yay\u0131nlanan m\u00fcnazarada &#8220;Pakistan&#8217;a sald\u0131rmaktan&#8221; bahsetti. Washington ve New York&#8217;taki temaslar\u0131m\u0131zda ele ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ikinci temel konu da se\u00e7imlerdi. Sadece 45 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce yine ayn\u0131 yerlerde teneff\u00fcs etti\u011fim siyasi atmosferin ters y\u00fcz oldu\u011funu hayretle g\u00f6rd\u00fcm. Yaz sonu Obama&#8217;n\u0131n &#8220;acemili\u011fi&#8221;, &#8220;sun&#8217;ili\u011fi&#8221; ve &#8220;siyahl\u0131\u011f\u0131&#8221; en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan hususlard\u0131. Bu kez ise kime sorsan\u0131z, &#8220;Bu i\u015f bitti. Obama kesinlikle kazanacak&#8221; diyor. Ekonomik buhran McCain&#8217;e, Obama kampanyas\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir darbe vurmu\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Herhalde bug\u00fcnlerde Washington&#8217;un en talihsiz ki\u015fisi, iyi giden kampanyas\u0131, se\u00e7imlere sadece 1 ay kala patlayan buhranla torpillenen McCain olsa gerek. Diplomatik Muhakeme&#8217;de, Obama&#8217;n\u0131n hangi sebeplerle kaybedebilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flere daha \u00f6nce yer vermi\u015ftik. Bug\u00fcn de Senat\u00f6r John McCain&#8217;in se\u00e7imde ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilecek d\u00f6rt temel fakt\u00f6r \u00fczerinde dural\u0131m. Tabiat\u0131yla, en temel sebep ekonomik buhran. Kendisinin sorumluluk ta\u015f\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131 buhran\u0131n faturas\u0131 McCain&#8217;e kesildi. Amerikan se\u00e7menin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funa g\u00f6re, ya\u015fanmakta olanlar sekiz y\u0131ll\u0131k Cumhuriyet\u00e7i y\u00f6netimin yanl\u0131\u015f uygulamalar\u0131n\u0131n bir sonucu; McCain de ayn\u0131 politikalar\u0131 devam ettirecek. Buhrandan, ancak yeni politikalar ve kadrolarla \u00e7\u0131k\u0131labilir. Beklenen de\u011fi\u015fimi McCain&#8217;in yapmas\u0131 beklenemez. H\u00e2lbuki Obama&#8217;n\u0131n ana se\u00e7im slogan\u0131 zaten &#8220;de\u011fi\u015fim&#8221;. Dahas\u0131, McCain&#8217;in ekonomik buhranla ilgili tatmin edici bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm ortaya koyamamas\u0131, kendisine bu konuda y\u00f6neltilen sorulara ya ka\u00e7amak cevaplar vermesi ya da iyi haz\u0131rlanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 intiba\u0131n\u0131 zihinlerde uyand\u0131rmas\u0131 da ibrenin Obama lehine d\u00f6nmesine yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. McCain&#8217;i yenilgiye ta\u015f\u0131yabilecek ikinci sebep tamamen fiziksel. Elbette, Obama&#8217;n\u0131n siyah olu\u015fu, muhafazak\u00e2r eyaletlerdeki \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatmaktayd\u0131. Televizyonda her iki aday\u0131n da beraber g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc m\u00fcnazaralardan sonra, McCain&#8217;in ya\u015f\u0131yla ilgili olumsuz yorumlar, Obama&#8217;n\u0131n rengiyle ilgili olanlar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ti. McCain, bazen babacan, tatl\u0131 bir ihtiyar dede g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc veriyor. Bazen de \u00e7okbilmi\u015f, herkese haddini bildirmeye niyetli tav\u0131r ve davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 var. Hele ses tonu, genizden konu\u015fan Amerikal\u0131 i\u00e7in bile itici. D\u00f6n\u00fcp dola\u015f\u0131p s\u00f6yledi\u011fi, &#8220;40 y\u0131l \u00fclkeme hizmet ettim. \u015eimdi de Ba\u015fkan olarak hizmet etmek istiyorum&#8221; c\u00fcmleleri kabak tad\u0131 veriyor. Amerikal\u0131lar, \u00fclkesine daha evvel \u00e7ok hizmet etti\u011fi i\u00e7in rahat Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011fuyla \u00f6d\u00fcllendirecekleri sevimli (bazen &#8220;h\u0131nz\u0131r&#8221;) bir ihtiyar aram\u0131yorlar. Dinamik, \u00f6n\u00fcnde geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan daha \u00e7ok hizmet y\u0131llar\u0131 olan birini ar\u0131yorlar. Se\u00e7imlere 20 g\u00fcn kala daha \u00e7ok se\u00e7men bu isimin McCain olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.&nbsp;<strong>PALIN \u0130Y\u0130 B\u0130R TERC\u0130H DE\u011e\u0130L&nbsp;<\/strong>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc sebep, McCain&#8217;in Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 aday\u0131 olarak se\u00e7ti\u011fi Sarah Palin&#8217;in yetersizli\u011fi. Adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk ilan edildi\u011finde, kad\u0131n olu\u015fu, ortalama Amerikal\u0131yla ayn\u0131 hayat standartlar\u0131na ve tercihlerine sahip olmas\u0131 gibi fakt\u00f6rler Palin&#8217;in, Obama&#8217;n\u0131n yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Joe Biden&#8217;a g\u00f6re daha \u00e7ok oy getirebilece\u011fi yorumlar\u0131na yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Palin belki hi\u00e7 a\u011fz\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7masa ve sadece bir &#8220;dekor&#8221; olarak McCain&#8217;in kampanyas\u0131nda yer alsa, \u015fimdi oldu\u011fundan daha faydal\u0131 olabilirdi. Bilhassa ekonomi ve d\u0131\u015f politika konular\u0131ndaki bilgisizli\u011fiyle Biden kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ezilen Palin, medyan\u0131n geni\u015f kesimlerinde ilk anda toplad\u0131\u011f\u0131 sempatiyi s\u00fcratle kaybetti. Ya\u015f\u0131 ilerlemi\u015f McCain&#8217;in ba\u015f\u0131na bir \u015fey gelmesi halinde, anayasaya g\u00f6re ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturacak Palin&#8217;in cehalet katsay\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, en cahil Amerikan ba\u015fkan\u0131ndan bile y\u00fcksek olu\u015fu sorumluluk sahibi se\u00e7menlerin bundan sonra onu sadece tatl\u0131 bir tebess\u00fcmle anacak olmalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.&nbsp;<strong>Bush POL\u0130T\u0130KALARINA DEVAM&nbsp;<\/strong>McCain&#8217;in kaybetmesine yol a\u00e7abilecek d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc sebep ise Bush&#8217;un d\u0131\u015f politikada att\u0131\u011f\u0131 yanl\u0131\u015f ad\u0131mlar\u0131 devam ettirece\u011fi \u015feklinde bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc sunmas\u0131. Irak&#8217;ta ve Afganistan&#8217;da sertlikten yana oldu\u011funun alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izen McCain, Amerikan birliklerinin \u00fclkelerine yak\u0131n zamanda d\u00f6nmelerinin beklenmemesini de dile getiriyor. Ama Irak ve Afganistan&#8217;daki uzun sava\u015ftan b\u0131kan, hatta bu operasyonlar\u0131n maliyetlerinin ekonomik buhran\u0131n tetikleyicilerinden oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n say\u0131lar\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanmakta. Bizdeki en ate\u015fli &#8220;vatan, millet, Sakarya&#8221; edebiyat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 hatiplere ta\u015f \u00e7\u0131karacak deneyimli Cumhuriyet\u00e7i hamaset \u00fcstatlar\u0131 bile televizyonlardaki reyting oranlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcratle kaybediyorlar. Bu durum da, d\u0131\u015f politikada alternatif \u00fcretemeyen, Amerikan halk\u0131na &#8220;kan ve g\u00f6zya\u015f\u0131&#8221; vadeden McCain&#8217;i, radikal de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri dillendiren Obama kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda geriletiyor. Ku\u015fkusuz ABD se\u00e7imlerine i\u00e7eriden ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan bakan yorumcular ne s\u00f6ylerse s\u00f6ylesin, son s\u00f6z\u00fc Amerikal\u0131 se\u00e7men sand\u0131kta s\u00f6yleyecek. Bu haftaki yaz\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 o se\u00e7menlerden birinin, 31 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki siyah\u00ee taksi \u015fof\u00f6r\u00fc Eddis&#8217;in a\u011f\u0131r bir Afrikal\u0131 aksan\u0131yla s\u00f6yledi\u011fi \u015fu s\u00f6zlerle bitirelim: &#8220;Bu \u00fclkeyi 400 y\u0131ld\u0131r beyazlar y\u00f6netiyor. Art\u0131k s\u0131ra bize geldi. Obama&#8217;y\u0131 art\u0131k kimse durduramaz.&#8221;&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7en hafta \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ziyareti i\u00e7in gitti\u011fim ABD&#8217;de iki konuda uzmanlarla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yapma imk\u00e2n\u0131 buldum. Bunlardan ilki, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de de hissetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ekonomik buhran. \u0130ktisat\u00e7\u0131 olmamama ra\u011fmen, ABD ekonomisinde ya\u015fananlar\u0131n getirdi\u011fi y\u0131k\u0131m\u0131n -al\u0131nan t\u00fcm tedbirlere ra\u011fmen- k\u0131sa vadede giderilemeyece\u011fini m\u00fc\u015fahede ettim. S\u0131radan Amerikal\u0131dan, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck think-tank&#8217;lerinin (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu) y\u00f6neticilerine kadar herkes endi\u015feli. Buhran\u0131n belki de Amerika [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13966,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=763"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}