Son 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemin en zor y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Fakat problemler bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131lla birlikte kalmad\u0131. 2023 k\u00fcresel siyasetin daha fazla \u0131s\u0131naca\u011f\u0131, belki de b\u00fcy\u00fck hesapla\u015fman\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fc sars\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 bir y\u0131l olmaya aday.<\/p>\n
2022’ye damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuran geli\u015fme \u015f\u00fcphesiz Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’ya sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 oldu. 11 ayd\u0131r d\u00fcnya g\u00fcndeminde en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan ki\u015filerin ba\u015f\u0131nda Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir Putin geliyor. 2022 Rusya’ya \u00fc\u00e7 miras b\u0131rakt\u0131: 1-Moskova’n\u0131n konvansiyonel asker\u00ee g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn yetersizli\u011fi ger\u00e7e\u011fini t\u00fcm d\u00fcnya g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
2- Ne kadar etkisiz olurlarsa olsunlar, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar Rusya’y\u0131 daha da yaln\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. 3- Alternatiflerin \u00e7o\u011fald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda, enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok etkili bir silah olarak kullan\u0131lamayaca\u011f\u0131 anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
2023 Putin i\u00e7in karar y\u0131l\u0131 olacak. Ya bug\u00fcne kadarki yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirerek ve baz\u0131 “tavizler” vererek Ukrayna’yla bar\u0131\u015f masas\u0131na oturacak ya da sava\u015f\u0131 derinle\u015ftirerek krizin daha da uluslararas\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak. ABD ve Ingiltere, Ukrayna’n\u0131n Rusya ile bar\u0131\u015f m\u00fczakerelerine ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in ellerinden geleni yapacaklar. Zira bu sava\u015f devam ederse, orta vadede Rusya’n\u0131n \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck zarara u\u011frayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorlar. Rusya’n\u0131n y\u0131pranmas\u0131 i\u00e7in de 2023 boyunca \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya devam edecekler.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye, krizin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 andan itibaren tak\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 hay\u0131rhah tarafs\u0131zl\u0131k politikas\u0131yla b\u00f6lgede bar\u0131\u015fa hizmet eden tek \u00fclke oldu. T\u00fcrkiye sayesinde a\u00e7\u0131lan tah\u0131l koridoru milyonlarca Afrikal\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7l\u0131ktan kurtard\u0131. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan, iki liderle de g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015febilen tek devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131yd\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye taraflar aras\u0131nda yeg\u00e2ne diyalog platformu olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. 2023’te de muhtemelen \u00f6yle olacak.<\/p>\n
2022 ABD’de ise ara se\u00e7im y\u0131l\u0131yd\u0131. \u0130ki y\u0131ll\u0131k icraat\u0131n\u0131 bir t\u00fcr g\u00fcvenoyuna sunan ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Biden -Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin beklentilerinin aksine- b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hezimete u\u011framad\u0131. Her ne kadar Temsilciler Meclisinde \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funu kapt\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olsa da ekonomik alanda alm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu \u00f6nlemlerin halkta olumlu kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k buldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu y\u0131l her iki partide de 2024’te yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imler i\u00e7in ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131n\u0131n isimleri yava\u015f yava\u015f konu\u015fulmaya ba\u015flanacak. Biden bir kez daha aday olmayacak. \u015eayet ara se\u00e7imde darbe alm\u0131\u015f olsayd\u0131, sa\u011fl\u0131k durumunu gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek koltu\u011fundan \u00e7ekilip, g\u00f6revi Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Harris’e devredebilirdi. \u015eimdi ise 2024 sonuna kadar -sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 el verirse- ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011fa devam edece\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Silik bir performans sergileyen Harris’in ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na girmesini Amerikan siyaseti uzmanlar\u0131 beklemiyor. Demokratlar\u0131n i\u00e7inden kimlerin sivrilmeye ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 2023’te g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n
Cumhuriyet\u00e7i cenahta ise adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayan ilk ki\u015fi olan eski Ba\u015fkan Trump hem yarg\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya hem de ara se\u00e7imlerde a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a destekledi\u011fi adaylar\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinden kurtulmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Tvvitter’\u0131n yeni sahibi Elon Musk’\u0131n 2023 boyunca yapaca\u011f\u0131 “if\u015faatlar” Trump’\u0131n yeniden Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 g\u00f6sterilmesinde belirleyici fakt\u00f6rlerden biri olacak gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan 2022 Avrupa Birli\u011fi i\u00e7in Ukrayna krizinin \u015fekillendirdi\u011fi bir y\u0131l oldu. Pandeminin ve Brexit’in olumsuz sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 gidermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, di\u011fer yandan da enerji ve tah\u0131l konular\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan zorluklar Avrupa ba\u015fkentlerini me\u015fgul etti. Almanya’daki “trafik lambas\u0131” koalisyonunun 100 milyar avroluk savunma sistemleri sat\u0131n al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015fa\u015fk\u0131nl\u0131\u011fa yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki tecr\u00fcbelerden hareket eden baz\u0131 “Almanya kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131” AvrupalI yorumcular, Almanya’n\u0131n silahlanmas\u0131n\u0131n AB i\u00e7in felaket olabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmelerini yapt\u0131lar. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir Alman ordusu olmadan, Rusya’n\u0131n AB i\u00e7in daha b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyenler de oldu. AB’nin bir di\u011fer kurucu \u00fclkesi \u0130talya’da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 Giorgia Meloni’nin ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturmas\u0131, ba\u015fta Fransa olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede ho\u015fnutsuzlu\u011fa sebep oldu. AB’nin Bat\u0131 Balkanlar a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 \u0130talya’n\u0131n AB i\u00e7indeki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc su y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kartsa da \u00f6zellikle kuzey \u00fclkelerinin hassasiyetleri t\u0131rmanmaya devam etti.<\/p>\n
Ukrayna geli\u015fmeleri NATO’yu da derinden etkiledi. Asl\u0131nda 2022, NATO’nun 2030 Stratejisi i\u00e7in uzmanlarca haz\u0131rlanan tasla\u011f\u0131n tart\u0131\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 ve Madrid Zirvesi’nde onaylanaca\u011f\u0131 y\u0131l olacakt\u0131. Bunun i\u00e7in 2 y\u0131ld\u0131r haz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131l\u0131yordu. Tam bu y\u00f6nde bir propaganda (kamu diplomasisi) ata\u011f\u0131 ba\u015flat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ki, Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Taslak Stratejik Konsept’te yer alan \u00e7o\u011fu ba\u015fl\u0131k anlam\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. Haziranda kabul edilen yeni konsept Rusya’y\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit hatta d\u00fc\u015fman ilan ediverdi. \u0130ki kutuplu d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f, son derece g\u00fcvenlik\u00e7i bir metin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130sve\u00e7 ve Finlandiya’n\u0131n Ittifak’a \u00fcyelik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu iki \u00fclkenin ter\u00f6rle iltisak\u0131na dair itirazlar\u0131 da 2022’nin \u00f6nemli playlar\u0131ndand\u0131. 2023’te bu iki \u0130skandinav \u00fclkesinin \u00fcye olup olamayaca\u011f\u0131, verdikleri s\u00f6zleri ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde tutacaklar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmaya devam edecek.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l\u0131n son ay\u0131nda Moskova’da T\u00fcrkiye ile Suriye aras\u0131nda \u00fcst d\u00fczey g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 2022 boyunca ya\u015fanan “yumu\u015fama” s\u00fcrecinin bir sonucuydu. 2023’\u00fcn ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda Suriyelilerin d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015flamas\u0131 i\u00e7in somut \u015fartlar olu\u015fmaya ba\u015flayabilir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrk Konseyi’nin sadece sosyo-k\u00fclt\u00fcrel bir “kul\u00fcp” olmaktan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p, uluslararas\u0131 alanda giderek daha somut i\u015f birliklerine imza atan bir te\u015fkilata d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi i\u00e7in 2022’te at\u0131lan devasa ad\u0131mlar, 2023’te de meyvelerini vermeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail’de Netanyahu’nun yeniden iktidara gelmesi, T\u00fcrkiye-\u0130srail ili\u015fkilerinde ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olan normalle\u015fme s\u00fcrecini tehlikeye soktu. Netanyahu’nun Filistinlilere, Filistin topraklar\u0131na ve Kud\u00fcs’e y\u00f6nelmi\u015f ilk hamlesinde ili\u015fkiler h\u0131zla gerilmeye ba\u015flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131l boyunca s\u00fcren ve y\u0131l sona ererken bir kez daha g\u00fcndeme gelen Yunanistan’\u0131n Ege ve Do\u011fu Akdeniz’deki provokatif eylemleri, muhtemelen \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda da s\u00fcrecek. Yunanistan’\u0131n Ege’de kara sular\u0131n\u0131 6 milin \u00f6tesine ta\u015f\u0131maya kalkmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan h\u00e2l\u00e2 sava\u015f sebebi olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Maalesef yeni bir y\u0131la ge\u00e7ince tertemiz bir sayfa a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131yor. Sadece yeni y\u0131lda de\u011fil her zaman T\u00fcrk ve \u0130slam \u00e2lemine huzur, istikrar, birlik ve dayan\u0131\u015fma diliyorum.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Son 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemin en zor y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k. Fakat problemler bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131lla birlikte kalmad\u0131. 2023 k\u00fcresel siyasetin daha fazla \u0131s\u0131naca\u011f\u0131, belki de b\u00fcy\u00fck hesapla\u015fman\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fc sars\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artaca\u011f\u0131 bir y\u0131l olmaya aday. 2022’ye damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuran geli\u015fme \u015f\u00fcphesiz Rusya’n\u0131n Ukrayna’ya sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 oldu. 11 ayd\u0131r d\u00fcnya g\u00fcndeminde en \u00e7ok konu\u015fulan ki\u015filerin ba\u015f\u0131nda Rusya Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Vladimir […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11841,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[36],"class_list":["post-6412","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-36"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6412","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6412"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6412\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11841"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6412"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}