Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hem diplomatik hem de asker\u00ee kapasitesinin ne kadar \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu Bat\u0131 ba\u015fkentlerine bir defa daha hat\u0131rlatt\u0131 ya, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yeni b\u00f6lgesel rol\u00fc konusunda \u201cparlak\u201d fikirler de ortada u\u00e7u\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu fikirlerden biri Harvard \u00dcniversitesi Belfer Merkezinde Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130stihbarat projesinin direkt\u00f6rl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de yapan Paul R. Kolbe\u2019den geldi. \u00d6z ge\u00e7mi\u015fi \u201cservis eleman\u0131\u201d oldu\u011funu fazlas\u0131yla g\u00f6steren Kolbe \u00f6zetle diyor ki, \u201cT\u00fcrkiye S-400\u2019leri, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 kendisini savunsun diye Ukrayna\u2019ya versin. ABD de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye Patriot bataryalar\u0131 yollas\u0131n. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin F-35 projesine geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne de izin verilsin.\u201d<\/p>\n
Ger\u00e7ek\u00e7ilikten uzak bir \u00f6neri. Ama Wall Street Journal gibi, i\u015f \u00e7evreleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan dikkate al\u0131nan sayg\u0131n bir yay\u0131n organ\u0131n\u0131n \u201cg\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler\u201d k\u00f6\u015fesinde yer bulabiliyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de baz\u0131 akademisyen ve siyaset\u00e7ilerin \u201cne g\u00fczel teklif\u201d diyerek kucaklad\u0131klar\u0131 Kolbe\u2019nin teklifinin neden anlams\u0131z oldu\u011funu d\u00f6rt maddede a\u00e7\u0131klayay\u0131m.<\/p>\n
Birincisi, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan da, Mill\u00ee Savunma Bakan\u0131 Akar da S-400 hava savunma sistemlerini neden sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ve hangi ama\u00e7la kullanaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 defalarca a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye bu savunma sistemine sahip olmay\u0131 bir devlet politikas\u0131 h\u00e2line getirmi\u015ftir. Geriye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc olmaz. Bu sistemleri depoda eskitmek i\u00e7in de almad\u0131k, ba\u015fkas\u0131na vermek i\u00e7in de. \u0130htiya\u00e7 h\u00e2linde kullanmak i\u00e7in ald\u0131k.<\/p>\n
\u0130kincisi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye satm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu hava savunma sistemlerinin Ukrayna\u2019ya verilmesine Rusya\u2019n\u0131n nas\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tepki verece\u011fini anlamak i\u00e7in Bay Kolbe kadar istihbarat zek\u00e2s\u0131na sahip olmam\u0131z gerekmez. Slovakya\u2019n\u0131n S-300\u2019lerini Ukrayna\u2019ya yollama d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesinin Moskova\u2019y\u0131 nas\u0131l hiddetlendirdi\u011fini m\u00fc\u015fahede ettik. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin Bay Kolbe\u2019nin \u00f6nerisini yerine getirmesi durumunda, Ankara\u2019n\u0131n krizin ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana hassasiyetle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc hay\u0131rhah tarafs\u0131zl\u0131k stat\u00fcs\u00fc bir daha geri gelmemek \u00fczere ortadan kalkar. Rusya\u2019yla da, u\u00e7ak krizinden \u00e7ok daha derin bir s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 i\u00e7ine d\u00fc\u015feriz; y\u0131llarca aray\u0131 d\u00fczeltemeyiz.<\/p>\n
\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, Kiev d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda hemen hemen b\u00fct\u00fcn kentlerde kontrol\u00fcn Rus ordusuna ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde, Ukrayna ordusunun hava savunma sistemlerinden fazlas\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu a\u015fik\u00e2rd\u0131r. Ne Slovakya\u2019dan yollanaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylenen S-300\u2019ler, ne de Polonya\u2019n\u0131n hibe etmek istedi\u011fi M\u0130G sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131 Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 kurtarabilir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n asker\u00ee \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Ukrayna ancak kentlerin sokaklar\u0131nda y\u0131prat\u0131c\u0131 ama kendisi i\u00e7in de bir o kadar y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 olan bir savunma verebilecek durumdad\u0131r. Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekte istedi\u011fi de budur: Sava\u015f uzas\u0131n; Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kay\u0131plar\u0131 ve zararlar\u0131 arts\u0131n; ABD, Rusya endi\u015fesi sayesinde NATO\u2019daki liderli\u011fini tahkim etsin; Rusya\u2019dan \u00e7ekinen \u00fclkelere daha \u00e7ok silah sats\u0131n.<\/p>\n
D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan bir\u00e7ok kategoride S-400\u2019ler Patriot\u2019lardan \u00fcst\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Mali y\u00fck\u00fc daha azd\u0131r. Ruslar\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ile ortak \u00fcretim ve teknoloji transferi gibi konulara prensip olarak olumlu yakla\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 bas\u0131nda yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu durumda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tekrar Patriot sistemlerine y\u00f6nelmesinin mant\u0131kl\u0131 bir gerek\u00e7esi olamaz. Patriot\u2019lar ancak ABD\u2019yi memnun etmek i\u00e7in sat\u0131n al\u0131nabilir. Bence bu hamlenin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin F-35 program\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne izin verilmesi gerekir.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye gibi NATO ittifak\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli \u00fclkelerinden birinin, orta\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011fu ve paras\u0131n\u0131 yat\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 h\u00e2lde F-35 projesinden d\u0131\u015flanmas\u0131 ABD\u2019nin stratejik miyoplu\u011funun g\u00f6stergesidir. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna\u2019ya sald\u0131rmas\u0131yla, ne kadar \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu bir kez daha ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan NATO\u2019nun cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015flanmas\u0131 hatta \u00f6tekile\u015ftirilmesiyle de\u011fil, daha da etkin bir savunma kapasitesine sahip olmas\u0131na destek olunmas\u0131yla temin edilebilir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yeni nesil sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi de NATO\u2019yu da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc k\u0131lar. ABD y\u00f6netiminin, T\u00fcrk d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131 baz\u0131 Kongre \u00fcyelerinin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ba\u015flat\u0131lan ambargo giri\u015fiminin son tahlilde Bat\u0131 savunmas\u0131na ne kadar derin bir zarar vermekte oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rmesi gerekir.<\/p>\n
SSCB\u2019nin kendisini feshetmesinin \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en 32 y\u0131l zarf\u0131nda Balkanlardan Kafkasya\u2019ya, Kuzey Afrika\u2019dan K\u00f6rfez\u2019e \u00e7ok say\u0131da krizin ve silahl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n meydana geldi\u011fi bir b\u00f6lgede yer alan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin savunmas\u0131n\u0131 her t\u00fcrl\u00fc imk\u00e2nla donatmas\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar \u00f6nemli oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Bir yandan yerli \u00fcretimde devasa ad\u0131mlarla ilerleyen T\u00fcrkiye, di\u011fer yandan da savunma sanayi temin kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlendirmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir. Tek kayna\u011fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n do\u011furabilece\u011fi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar her krizde yeniden g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye silah sistemleri satan herhangi bir \u00fclkeyle ileride ya\u015fayabilece\u011fimiz bir siyasi gerilimin, sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tlanmas\u0131na, hatta dondurulmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi bilinen bir ger\u00e7ektir.<\/p>\n
Bu durumda T\u00fcrkiye; Rusya-Ukrayna krizinde takip etti\u011fi iyi niyetli ara buluculuk ve hay\u0131rhah tarafs\u0131zl\u0131k stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecektir. Savunma ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 hem yerli kaynaklardan hem de d\u00fcnyan\u0131n farkl\u0131 \u00fclkelerinden kar\u015f\u0131layacakt\u0131r. NATO \u00fcyesi olarak sorumluluklar\u0131n\u0131 yerine getirirken, ABD ve Almanya ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere \u201cm\u00fcttefiklerin\u201d uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gizli ve a\u00e7\u0131k silah ambargolar\u0131n\u0131n asl\u0131nda \u0130ttifak\u2019a zarar verdi\u011fini ve derh\u00e2l sonland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini b\u0131kmadan, usanmadan anlatmaya devam edecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Ukrayna sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hem diplomatik hem de asker\u00ee kapasitesinin ne kadar \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu Bat\u0131 ba\u015fkentlerine bir defa daha hat\u0131rlatt\u0131 ya, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yeni b\u00f6lgesel rol\u00fc konusunda \u201cparlak\u201d fikirler de ortada u\u00e7u\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Bu fikirlerden biri Harvard \u00dcniversitesi Belfer Merkezinde Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130stihbarat projesinin direkt\u00f6rl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc de yapan Paul R. Kolbe\u2019den geldi. \u00d6z ge\u00e7mi\u015fi \u201cservis eleman\u0131\u201d oldu\u011funu fazlas\u0131yla […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12010,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[37],"class_list":["post-6025","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-37"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6025","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6025"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6025\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12010"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6025"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6025"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6025"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}