Almanya\u2019da 26 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de genel se\u00e7im yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Maliye Bakan\u0131 Olaf Scholz\u2019u ba\u015fbakan aday\u0131 olarak belirleyen koalisyon orta\u011f\u0131 Sosyal Demokrat Parti %25,7 ile sand\u0131ktan birinci parti olarak \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Genel Ba\u015fkan Armin Laschet\u2019i ba\u015fbakan aday\u0131 g\u00f6steren H\u0131ristiyan Demokrat Parti ise -k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck orta\u011f\u0131 Bavyera H\u0131ristiyan Sosyal Birlik Partisiyle (CSU) birlikte- %24,1 oy ald\u0131. Sosyal Demokrat Parti, 2013\u2019ten bu yana 3. ve 4. Angela Merkel h\u00fck\u00fbmetlerinde ortak olduklar\u0131 H\u0131ristiyan Demokratlarla de\u011fil muhalefetteki Ye\u015filler ve H\u00fcr Demokrat partileriyle koalisyona girmeyi tercih etti. Son genel se\u00e7imde Ye\u015filler %14,8, H\u00fcr Demokratlar ise %11,5 oran\u0131nda oy alm\u0131\u015flard\u0131. Se\u00e7imden 59 g\u00fcn sonra \u00fc\u00e7 parti aras\u0131nda bir koalisyon i\u00e7in mutabakata var\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7en hafta i\u00e7inde a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Sosyal Demokratlar k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131y\u0131, Ye\u015filler ye\u015fili, H\u00fcr Demokratlar da sar\u0131y\u0131 partilerinin rengi olarak se\u00e7tiklerinden ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan koalisyona trafik lambas\u0131 koalisyonu yak\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u00dc\u00e7 parti yetkililerinin \u00fczerinde mutabakata vard\u0131\u011f\u0131 koalisyon program\u0131n\u0131n \u015fimdi partilerin yetkili organlar\u0131nda onaylanmas\u0131 gerekiyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 iki haftal\u0131k bir s\u00fcre sonunda 6 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta Olaf Scholz\u2019un \u015fans\u00f6lyeli\u011finde yeni h\u00fck\u00fbmetin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6z konusu olan \u00fclke, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin -Fransa ile beraber- iki lokomotifinden biri olan Almanya olunca, yeni h\u00fck\u00fbmetin T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilere nas\u0131l yakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131 ister istemez b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6nem kazan\u0131yor. Zira trafik lambas\u0131 koalisyonunun T\u00fcrkiye politikas\u0131 sadece Almanya\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fil, Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin de T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilerine y\u00f6n verecek. Koalisyon program\u0131 bize hi\u00e7 olumlu bir mesaj vermiyor. \u00dc\u00e7 parti T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin NATO ve AB i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir ortak oldu\u011funu kabul etmekle birlikte, T\u00fcrkiye-AB kat\u0131l\u0131m m\u00fczakerelerinde yeni bir fas\u0131l a\u00e7\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bug\u00fcne kadar a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olan fas\u0131llar\u0131n da kapat\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k bir dille kayda ge\u00e7irdiler. Yani trafik lambas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 yand\u0131.<\/p>\n
AB kat\u0131l\u0131m m\u00fczakerelerinde en son fasl\u0131n 2016\u2019n\u0131n haziran ay\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu, m\u00fczakerelerin ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2005\u2019ten bu yana sadece bir fasl\u0131n kapat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilenler i\u00e7in yeni Alman h\u00fck\u00fbmetinin bu tutumu s\u00fcrpriz olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyebilir. Fakat Merkel h\u00fck\u00fbmetlerinin resm\u00ee tutumunun m\u00fczakereleri s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek \u015feklinde oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse, \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc koalisyonla birlikte, gayriresm\u00ee ve fiil\u00ee durum ile resm\u00ee durumun birbirleriyle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc s\u00f6ylenebilir. Bu ise yeni Alman h\u00fck\u00fbmetinin bu karar\u0131yla m\u00fczakerelerin \u00e2deta ask\u0131ya al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n en net g\u00f6stergesidir.<\/p>\n
\u00dcyelik m\u00fczakerelerinin teknik y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc bilenler, \u201cm\u00fczakerelerin ask\u0131ya al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n ancak AB Konseyi\u2019nin karar\u0131yla\u201d olabilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirmesini yapabilirler. Almanya\u2019n\u0131n bu kadar a\u00e7\u0131k \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00fcrecin esasen meflu\u00e7 oldu\u011funu, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ayr\u0131ca bir de Konsey karar\u0131na gerek olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 herh\u00e2lde kimse ink\u00e2r edemez.<\/p>\n
O h\u00e2lde ne yapmal\u0131? Bir sonraki Almanya se\u00e7imine kadar bekleyerek T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin AB \u00fcyeli\u011fine, en az\u0131ndan k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerinde ye\u015fil \u0131\u015f\u0131k yakacak bir h\u00fck\u00fbmetin gelmesini mi \u00fcmit etmeli? Yoksa, bir b\u00fcy\u00fck kriz ya\u015fanmazsa en az \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 y\u0131l boyunca \u00fclkeyi y\u00f6netecek olan bu \u00fc\u00e7 renkli h\u00fck\u00fbmetin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 bir veri kabul ederek, onun \u00fczerinden yeni bir T\u00fcrkiye-Almanya ve T\u00fcrkiye-AB ili\u015fkileri modeli i\u00e7in mi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmal\u0131? Ben ikincisini tercih ederim. Zira, bir elin parmaklar\u0131 kadar \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda AB \u00fcyelerinin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00fcyeli\u011fine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131, Fransa ve Almanya gibi iki lokomotifin tav\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 net \u015fekilde ortaya koydu\u011fu bir iklimde kendimizi sanki m\u00fczakereler devam ediyormu\u015f gibi kand\u0131rarak yola devam etmek anlaml\u0131 de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
Ankara y\u0131llarca \u201cmasadan kalkan taraf biz olmayaca\u011f\u0131z\u201d, \u201cili\u015fkilerin fi\u015fini biz \u00e7ekmeyece\u011fiz\u201d gibi ifadeler kullanarak Avrupa Birli\u011fi ile iyi niyete dayal\u0131 ve \u201ckazan-kazan\u201d anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n h\u00e2kim oldu\u011fu bir ili\u015fkiyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek istedi\u011fini dile getirdi durdu. Fakat AB \u00fcyelerinin ba\u015fkentlerinin \u00e7o\u011fundan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu yap\u0131c\u0131 tutumuna olumlu kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k gelmedi. Fransa, Avusturya ve Hollanda\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ret cephesine art\u0131k Almanya da resmen eklenmi\u015f oldu. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda son be\u015f bu\u00e7uk y\u0131ld\u0131r yaprak k\u0131m\u0131ldamayan tam \u00fcyelik m\u00fczakereleri konusunda \u0131srarc\u0131 olmak beyhude zaman kayb\u0131ndan ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fildir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin hak ve menfaatlerine zarar vermek isteyenler, \u201cAB\u2019ye aday \u00fclke\u201d olu\u015fundan azami surette istifade etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Yunanistan ve GKRY\u2019nin AB platformlar\u0131ndaki pervas\u0131z davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n motivasyon kaynaklar\u0131ndan biri de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u201cbo\u015fa k\u00fcrek \u00e7ekse de\u201d h\u00e2len aday \u00fclke olu\u015fudur.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yapmas\u0131 gereken; G\u00fcmr\u00fck Birli\u011fi\u2019nden g\u00fcvenli\u011fe, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadeleden d\u00fczensiz g\u00f6\u00e7e kadar bir\u00e7ok konuyu ihtiva edecek \u015fekilde katmanland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ve g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015f yepyeni bir stratejik ili\u015fki modelini AB ile kurgulamakt\u0131r. Bu yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde, AB T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in giderek kronik bir sorun alan\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fecek, kar\u015f\u0131lanmayan \u00fcyelik beklentisinin husule getirdi\u011fi derin hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131, sadece siyasi de\u011fil ama ayn\u0131 zamanda iktisadi ili\u015fkilerimizin de zedelenmesine yol a\u00e7abilecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Almanya\u2019da 26 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de genel se\u00e7im yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Maliye Bakan\u0131 Olaf Scholz\u2019u ba\u015fbakan aday\u0131 olarak belirleyen koalisyon orta\u011f\u0131 Sosyal Demokrat Parti %25,7 ile sand\u0131ktan birinci parti olarak \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Genel Ba\u015fkan Armin Laschet\u2019i ba\u015fbakan aday\u0131 g\u00f6steren H\u0131ristiyan Demokrat Parti ise -k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck orta\u011f\u0131 Bavyera H\u0131ristiyan Sosyal Birlik Partisiyle (CSU) birlikte- %24,1 oy ald\u0131. Sosyal Demokrat Parti, 2013\u2019ten bu yana […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12037,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[30],"class_list":["post-5490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-30"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5490","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5490"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5490\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12037"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5490"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5490"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5490"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}