{"id":5262,"date":"2020-11-01T09:36:54","date_gmt":"2020-11-01T06:36:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=5262"},"modified":"2024-03-06T23:57:45","modified_gmt":"2024-03-06T20:57:45","slug":"anketlere-gore-trump-kazanirsa-surpriz-olur01-11-2020-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=5262","title":{"rendered":"Anketlere g\u00f6re Trump kazan\u0131rsa s\u00fcrpriz olur(01.11.2020)-T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 2016 ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7iminde 138 milyon Amerikal\u0131 oy vermi\u015fti. Bu toplam se\u00e7men say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %58\u2019ine tekab\u00fcl etmekteydi. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imde yakla\u015f\u0131k 240 milyon se\u00e7menin oy vermeye hakk\u0131 var. 30 Ekim itibar\u0131yla&nbsp;80 milyondan fazla ki\u015fi erken oy verme i\u015flemini tamamlam\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu rakam d\u00f6rt y\u0131l \u00f6nce verilen oylar\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. \u015eayet kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131 do\u011fru \u00e7\u0131karsa, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc sand\u0131\u011fa bizzat giderek oy vereceklerle birlikte, se\u00e7imde oy verme oran\u0131n\u0131n %65\u2019e eri\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Bu ise y\u00fcz y\u0131ld\u0131r ABD se\u00e7imlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f bir oran. Oy verenlerin oran\u0131ndaki bu rekor art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kime yarayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kestirmek kolay de\u011fil.<\/div>\n<div>Anketlerin tamam\u0131nda ibre h\u00e2l\u00e2 Biden\u2019\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. ABD medyas\u0131nda hem toplam oylar\u0131n, hem de ikincil se\u00e7menlerin fazlas\u0131n\u0131 Demokrat aday\u0131n alaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde neredeyse mutabakat var. Ama Trump ve kampanya ekibi \u00f6yle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Pandemi sebebiyle sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc beklemeden erken oy verenlerin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun kendilerini tercih edece\u011fini iddia ediyorlar.<\/div>\n<div>Trump\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7imi kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia edenler \u00fc\u00e7 unsuru \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yorlar:<\/div>\n<div>1-Salg\u0131na ra\u011fmen Amerikan ekonomisi Obama\u2019n\u0131n 8 y\u0131ll\u0131k iktidar\u0131ndakinden daha iyi durumda. ABD tarihinin en iyi GSMH rakam\u0131na ula\u015f\u0131ld\u0131.<\/div>\n<div>2-COVID-19\u2019a yakalananlar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 art\u0131yor ama \u00f6l\u00fcm oran\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Demek ki, Trump\u2019\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k politikas\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131.<\/div>\n<div>3-Trump\u2019\u0131n \u015fiddet olaylar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 tavizsiz tutumu s\u0131radan Amerikal\u0131n\u0131n can ve mal g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/div>\n<div>Biden ve kampanya ekibinin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 husus ise Trump\u2019\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k politikalar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olu\u015fu. Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta salg\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemsememekle ve gerekli tedbirleri zaman\u0131nda almamakla itham eden Demokratlar, ortalama Amerikal\u0131n\u0131n hayat \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131ndan beri en k\u00f6t\u00fc seviyede oldu\u011funu dile getiriyorlar.<\/div>\n<div>D\u0131\u015f politika, her iki aday a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131nda en az \u00fczerinde durulan alan oldu. Adaylar\u0131n kampanya sayfalar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel ter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadele ve ABD ordusunun \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki asker\u00ee&nbsp;varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi konularda net bir ayr\u0131m s\u00f6z konusu de\u011fil. Trump\u2019\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015fman ilan etti\u011fi \u00c7in\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 Biden\u2019\u0131n bak\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fc itibar\u0131yla&nbsp;ayn\u0131. Biden\u2019\u0131n farkl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in do\u011frudan hedef al\u0131narak de\u011fil, diplomatik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yoluyla dizginlenebilece\u011finden ibaret. Zaten Biden\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politikadaki temel vurgusu, uluslararas\u0131 i\u015f birli\u011fine geri d\u00f6n\u00fclmesi. &#8220;Amerika\u2019y\u0131 yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fck yapaca\u011f\u0131m&#8221;&nbsp;derken Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019yi d\u00fcnyada yaln\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunan Biden, ba\u015fta COVID-19\u2019la m\u00fccadele olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok konuda ABD\u2019yi k\u00fcresel liderlik sorumluluklar\u0131ndan uzakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ediyor. ABD\u2019nin NATO\u2019daki m\u00fcttefiklerini kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na almas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu belirten Biden, \u00fclkesinin maruz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik tehditlerinin m\u00fcttefiklerle daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ili\u015fkiler kurmaktan ge\u00e7ti\u011fini ifade ediyor.<\/div>\n<div>M\u00fcttefiklerle ili\u015fkiler s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda tabii ki, Biden\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye bak\u0131\u015f\u0131 da ak\u0131llara geliyor. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k m\u00fcnazaralar\u0131nda hi\u00e7 g\u00fcndeme gelmemi\u015f olsa da Biden\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yle ili\u015fkilere olumsuz yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha \u00f6nceki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan biliyoruz. ABD\u2019nin Suriye\u2019de PKK\u2019n\u0131n uzant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 destekleme karar\u0131 Biden\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 oldu\u011fu Obama d\u00f6neminde al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Trump d\u00f6neminde Pentagon bu politikay\u0131 devam ettirdi. Biden ba\u015fkan olursa bu politika de\u011fi\u015fmeyecek. 15 Temmuz hain darbe giri\u015fimi yine Obama iktidardayken ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti. Biden\u2019\u0131n ekibinde FET\u00d6 mensuplar\u0131yla ge\u00e7mi\u015fte yak\u0131n ili\u015fkiler kuran ve onlar\u0131n ABD\u2019deki varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 yasal h\u00e2le getiren ki\u015filer oldu\u011fu a\u015fik\u00e2r. Biden ayn\u0131 zamanda Do\u011fu Akdeniz\u2019de Yunanistan-GKRY \u00e7izgisine yak\u0131n bir duru\u015fa sahip.<\/div>\n<div>Trump yeniden se\u00e7ilirse \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 daha da sertle\u015ftirece\u011fi sinyalini verirken, Biden ba\u015fkan olursa \u0130ran\u2019la n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmaya yeniden d\u00f6n\u00fclebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. \u0130srail\u2019in Arap \u00fclkeleriyle ili\u015fkilerini d\u00fczeltmesini Ba\u015fkan Trump b\u00fcy\u00fck bir ba\u015far\u0131 olarak dile getiriyor. Biden ise \u0130srail\u2019i do\u011frudan kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda almaktan imtina ederken, Filistin meselesinde Obama-Clinton d\u00f6nemindeki siyasete geri d\u00f6n\u00fclmesinden yana oldu\u011fu izlenimini veriyor.<\/div>\n<div>Trump\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda Rusya\u2019ya sert yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar uygulanm\u0131\u015f ama Trump, Putin ile ili\u015fkilerini dengede tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Biden iktidara gelirse ABD-Rusya ili\u015fkilerinde k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fme ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 ve Moskova\u2019ya uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n daha da sertle\u015fece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Bu y\u00f6n\u00fcyle, S-400&#8217;ler Biden\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ile ili\u015fkilerinde g\u00fcndemde tutaca\u011f\u0131 bir konu olmaya aday.<\/div>\n<div>Anketler Biden\u2019\u0131n kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Trump\u2019\u0131n bir d\u00f6nem daha koltukta kalmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrpriz olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Fakat geleneksel olarak sand\u0131\u011fa gitmeyen milyonlarca muhafazak\u00e2r Amerikal\u0131n\u0131n, erken oy verme imk\u00e2n\u0131n\u0131 kullanarak bu kez oy vermesi belki de Trump\u2019\u0131n i\u015fine yarayabilir. \u015eayet 20 y\u0131l \u00f6nceki Bush-Gore kap\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndakine benzer bir mahkeme s\u00fcreci ya\u015fanmazsa, ABD\u2019nin yeni ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u00e7ar\u015famba sabah\u0131 belli olacak.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 2016 ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7iminde 138 milyon Amerikal\u0131 oy vermi\u015fti. Bu toplam se\u00e7men say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %58\u2019ine tekab\u00fcl etmekteydi. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imde yakla\u015f\u0131k 240 milyon se\u00e7menin oy vermeye hakk\u0131 var. 30 Ekim itibar\u0131yla&nbsp;80 milyondan fazla ki\u015fi erken oy verme i\u015flemini tamamlam\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu rakam d\u00f6rt y\u0131l \u00f6nce verilen oylar\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12138,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-5262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-31"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5262"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5262\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}