{"id":4990,"date":"2020-02-16T10:25:18","date_gmt":"2020-02-16T07:25:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=4990"},"modified":"2024-03-07T00:50:35","modified_gmt":"2024-03-06T21:50:35","slug":"demokratlarin-baskan-adayi-kim-olacak-16-02-2020-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=4990","title":{"rendered":"Demokratlar\u0131n ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 kim olacak? (16.02.2020) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>1845\u2019te ABD\u2019de Kongresi\u2019nde kabul edilen bir kanuna uygun olarak, her d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda bir \u201cKas\u0131m ay\u0131n\u0131n ilk pazartesini takip eden sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d Ba\u015fkan ve Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in se\u00e7im yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu y\u0131l se\u00e7im g\u00fcn\u00fc 3 Kas\u0131m. Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti\u2019nin ba\u015fkan aday\u0131n\u0131n mevcut Ba\u015fkan Donald J. Trump olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. Demokrat Partili Temsilciler Meclisi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nancy Pelosi\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 azil soru\u015fturmas\u0131ndan aklanan Trump, hem partisi i\u00e7inde hem de ABD kamuoyu nezdinde g\u00fcven tazeledi. Bu durumu Trump\u2019\u0131n ikinci d\u00f6nemini garantiledi\u011fi \u015feklinde yorumlayan Amerikal\u0131 uzmanlar da var. Se\u00e7ime dokuz ay varken ve Demokrat Parti\u2019nin aday\u0131 hen\u00fcz belli olmam\u0131\u015fken bu yorumu yapmak i\u00e7in erken. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki se\u00e7imlerin analizlerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ABD se\u00e7meninin adaylar\u0131n vaatleri kadar ki\u015fisel \u00f6zelliklerine de itibar ettikleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imlerinde hangi konular\u0131n se\u00e7men davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 etkiledi\u011fiyle ilgili bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma yapan Gallup ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi son 70 y\u0131ldaki \u00f6rnekleri birbirleriyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015f. Birinci g\u00f6sterge mevcut ba\u015fkan\u0131n kararlar\u0131na halk\u0131n verdi\u011fi destek. Buna g\u00f6re Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n politikalar\u0131na destek oran\u0131 Ocak 2020 sonu itibar\u0131yla&nbsp;%47. Bu rakam 2004 se\u00e7imi \u00f6ncesi George Bush i\u00e7in %55, 2008 se\u00e7imi \u00f6ncesi Barack Obama i\u00e7in %45\u2019mi\u015f.<\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>\u0130kinci g\u00f6sterge, Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n genel olarak hayatlar\u0131ndan memnun olup olmad\u0131klar\u0131 verisi. Memnun olmayanlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlukta olmas\u0131, y\u00f6netimi de\u011fi\u015ftirme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir halk iradesinin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyen fakt\u00f6rlerden biri. Ocak 2008\u2019de %24 olan bu rakam, Ocak 2012\u2019de %18, Ocak 2016\u2019da ise %23\u2019m\u00fc\u015f. Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n ilk d\u00f6nemdeki son y\u0131l\u0131nda hayatlar\u0131ndan memnun olan Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n oran\u0131 ise Ocak 2020 itibar\u0131yla&nbsp;%41. 2004\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek oran.<\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge, ekonomiye g\u00fcven oran\u0131. +100 ile -100 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, Ocak 2008\u2019de -35, Ocak 2012\u2019de -22, Ocak 2016\u2019da -1 olan bu g\u00f6sterge Ocak 2020\u2019de +40 olarak g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00f6sterge Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n neyi en b\u00fcy\u00fck problem olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri. Ekonominin en b\u00fcy\u00fck problem oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenlerin say\u0131s\u0131 2008\u2019de %38, 2012\u2019de %66, 2016\u2019da %27\u2019yken, bug\u00fcn bu oran %10.<\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>S\u00f6z konusu g\u00f6stergeler birlikte de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, Amerikan halk\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun hayatlar\u0131ndan memnun oldu\u011funu ve ekonominin gidi\u015fat\u0131n\u0131 olumlu g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. B\u00f6yle bir durumda, Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019a rakip olacak Demokrat Parti aday\u0131n\u0131n kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 dayand\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 en temel ekonomik arg\u00fcmanlar azal\u0131yor. Pahal\u0131l\u0131k, i\u015fsizlik, Amerikan hayat tarz\u0131ndan uzakla\u015fma gibi ekonomiyle ilgili ele\u015ftirilerin se\u00e7mende yo\u011fun kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k bulmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Di\u011fer yandan, gelir da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131ndaki adaletsizlik, vergilerin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, genel sa\u011fl\u0131k sigortas\u0131, g\u00f6\u00e7menlik, silahlar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc, \u00e7evre konular\u0131, e\u011fitim \u00fccretleri, siber g\u00fcvenlik gibi konular\u0131n her zaman oldu\u011fu gibi bu se\u00e7imde de Demokrat Parti kampanyas\u0131nda yer bulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Fakat adaylar bu konulara e\u011filirken de, Trump\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131k performans\u0131na deste\u011fin, \u201cg\u00f6revini k\u00f6t\u00fcye kullanma\u201d ve \u201cadaleti engelleme\u201d gibi iki a\u011f\u0131r su\u00e7la itham edildi\u011fi azil soru\u015fturmas\u0131ndan sonra bile 2008\u2019de Obama\u2019ya olan deste\u011fin 2 puan \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu dikkate almak zorundalar.<\/div>\n<div>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Demokrat Parti Trump\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda kimi \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rsa \u00e7\u0131kars\u0131n se\u00e7imde i\u015fi epey zor. \u00d6yle oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in de, partinin delegelerinin \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc al\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131k olmayan, ge\u00e7mi\u015f y\u0131llarda se\u00e7imlerde neredeyse hi\u00e7 duymad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z tarzda sloganlar atan, kelimenin tam anlam\u0131yla&nbsp;<strong>eksantrik<\/strong>&nbsp;bir ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 tipolojisinin aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Trump\u2019\u0131n \u201cdeli\u201d (crazy) lakab\u0131n\u0131 takt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Vermont Senat\u00f6r\u00fc&nbsp;<strong>Bernie Sanders<\/strong>, \u00f6n se\u00e7imlerin ilk iki aya\u011f\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmedik \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde destek kazand\u0131.<\/div>\n<div>&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>Demokrat ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131 aras\u0131nda, 1941 do\u011fumlu, Gali\u00e7ya k\u00f6kenli Yahudi bir aileden gelen \u201csosyalist\u201d Sanders\u2019tan ba\u015fka \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan d\u00f6rt isim var: O\u011flu Ukrayna gaz \u015firketinin y\u00f6netim kurulunda \u00fcye olan eski Delaware senat\u00f6r\u00fc ve Barack Obama\u2019n\u0131n Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 1942 do\u011fumlu Katolik&nbsp;<strong>Joe Biden<\/strong>. 62 milyar dolarl\u0131k servetiyle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en zengin 12. insan\u0131 olan Rus Yahudisi k\u00f6kenli eski New York Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131&nbsp;<strong>Michael Bloomberg<\/strong>. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na, e\u015f cinselli\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ilan ederek kat\u0131lan ilk ki\u015fi olan, Afganistan\u2019da ABD ordusunda bulunmu\u015f, babas\u0131 Maltal\u0131 bir g\u00f6\u00e7men olan, 300.000 n\u00fcfuslu South Bend \u015fehrinin Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Episkopal Kilisesine mensup (Anglikan)&nbsp;<strong>Pete Buttigieg<\/strong>. \u0130flas konular\u0131nda uzmanla\u015fm\u0131\u015f bir avukat ve \u00fcnl\u00fc bir hukuk profes\u00f6r\u00fc iken 2013\u2019te ABD Senatosuna se\u00e7ilen ve bug\u00fcne kadar Massachusetts senat\u00f6r\u00fc olarak g\u00f6rev yapan Methodist Kilisesine mensup,&nbsp;<strong>Elizabeth Warren<\/strong>.<\/div>\n<div>Demokrat ba\u015fkan aday adaylar\u0131 6 Haziran\u2019a kadar s\u00fcrecek eyalet \u00f6n se\u00e7imlerinde delegelerden en fazla deste\u011fi alarak, 13-16 Temmuz tarihlerinde yap\u0131lacak Demokrat Parti\u2019nin ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 belirleme kongresinde ipi g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcslemek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck m\u00fccadele verecekler. Bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla&nbsp;sekiz olan ba\u015fkan aday aday\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n, ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6nemlerde oldu\u011fu gibi, Demokrat Parti kongresinden \u00f6nce iki veya \u00fc\u00e7e inmesi bekleniyor. Nisandan sonra bir\u00e7ok aday yar\u0131\u015ftan \u00e7ekilecek. Trump gibi nev-i \u015fahs\u0131na m\u00fcnhas\u0131r bir ba\u015fkan\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131na, \u201cBizim Devrim\u201d ve \u201cSiyasi Devrim Rehberi\u201d gibi \u00e7ok satan kitaplar\u0131n yazar\u0131, kendisini \u201cdemokratik sosyalist\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlayan Bernie Sanders \u00e7\u0131kar m\u0131? \u00c7\u0131karsa, kazan\u0131r m\u0131? Amerikan siyasetinde se\u00e7im y\u0131llar\u0131 hep e\u011flenceli olmu\u015ftur&#8230;<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1845\u2019te ABD\u2019de Kongresi\u2019nde kabul edilen bir kanuna uygun olarak, her d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda bir \u201cKas\u0131m ay\u0131n\u0131n ilk pazartesini takip eden sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d Ba\u015fkan ve Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 i\u00e7in se\u00e7im yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu y\u0131l se\u00e7im g\u00fcn\u00fc 3 Kas\u0131m. Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti\u2019nin ba\u015fkan aday\u0131n\u0131n mevcut Ba\u015fkan Donald J. Trump olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 biliyoruz. Demokrat Partili Temsilciler Meclisi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nancy Pelosi\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 azil [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12203,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-4990","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-31"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4990","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4990"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4990\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12203"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4990"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4990"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4990"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}