Diplomatik Muhakeme k\u00f6\u015fesinde 2008\u2019den bu yana yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi, y\u0131l\u0131n son yaz\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yine geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z y\u0131l\u0131n en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelerine ay\u0131raca\u011f\u0131m. 2019\u2019da k\u00fcresel alanda en \u00e7ok ses getiren iki olaya yo\u011funla\u015faca\u011f\u0131m. Haftaya ise T\u00fcrk d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 2019\u2019u de\u011ferlendirece\u011fim…<\/p>\n
\u201c2019\u2019un en \u00f6nemli uluslararas\u0131 olay\u0131 nedir?\u201d sorusuna farkl\u0131 cevaplar verilebilir. Ama bana g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump hakk\u0131nda ba\u015flat\u0131lan azil s\u00fcreci bu y\u0131la damga vuran olaylar\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda geliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Temsilciler Meclisi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nancy Pelosi belki de Ba\u015fkan Trump\u2019\u0131n aray\u0131p da bulamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir f\u0131rsat\u0131 \u201calt\u0131n tepsi i\u00e7inde\u201d kendisine sunmu\u015f oldu. Trump ile Ukrayna Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Zelensky aras\u0131nda yaz\u0131n yap\u0131lan bir telefon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinin muhtevas\u0131n\u0131n bas\u0131na s\u0131zd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda Pelosi Ba\u015fkan i\u00e7in azil mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fleteceklerini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7 aydan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda Temsilciler Meclisi\u2019nde azil dosyas\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli i\u015flemler tamamland\u0131. 18 Aral\u0131k\u2019ta yap\u0131lan oylamada Trump, \u201cg\u00f6revini k\u00f6t\u00fcye kullanma\u201d ve \u201cKongre\u2019nin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleme\u201d iddialar\u0131ndan \u201csu\u00e7lu\u201d bulunarak, Temsilciler Meclisi\u2019nde azil dosyas\u0131 onaylanan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak tarihe ge\u00e7ti. \u201cPeki nas\u0131l oluyor da bu durumu Trump i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat say\u0131yorsun?\u201d diye sorabilirsiniz. Azil s\u00fcreci Trump i\u00e7in \u00fc\u00e7 f\u0131rsat do\u011furdu:<\/p>\n
Birincisi, Demokratlar\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc adaylar\u0131ndan Joe Biden\u2019\u0131 devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f oldu. Zira Zelensky ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 telefon konu\u015fmas\u0131nda Biden\u2019\u0131n o\u011flunun Ukrayna devlet gaz \u015firketindeki y\u00fcksek maa\u015fl\u0131 y\u00f6netim kurulu \u00fcyeli\u011fi konusu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Trump Amerikan halk\u0131na, eski Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Biden\u2019\u0131n yabanc\u0131 bir \u00fclkeye ge\u00e7mi\u015fte sa\u011flam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu avantajlar\u0131n bir bedeli olarak o\u011fluna \u00e7ok iyi bir i\u015f buldu\u011funu, yani asl\u0131nda g\u00f6revini istismar edenin kendisi de\u011fil Biden oldu\u011funu s\u00fcrekli anlat\u0131yor. Kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131 Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n Biden\u2019a bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n olumsuza do\u011fru gitti\u011fini ortaya koyuyor. \u0130kincisi, Trump ba\u015flat\u0131lan \u201ccad\u0131 av\u0131n\u0131n\u201d kendisini de\u011fil Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti\u2019yi hedef ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylemini vurgulayarak, partinin s\u0131k\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131ya kenetlenmesini temin etmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131. Nitekim Temsilciler Meclisi\u2019ndeki oylamada Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler hi\u00e7 fire vermeden Trump\u2019\u0131n yan\u0131nda yer ald\u0131lar. Dahas\u0131 Trump\u2019\u0131n lehine oy veren bir Demokrat Meclis \u00fcyesi de parti de\u011fi\u015ftirerek Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin saf\u0131na ge\u00e7ti. Senato\u2019da yap\u0131lacak yarg\u0131lama ve oylamada da Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti\u2019nin ayn\u0131 tavr\u0131 sergileyece\u011finden kimsenin \u015f\u00fcphesi yok. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, Trump\u2019\u0131n 2020 Kas\u0131m’\u0131ndaki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi i\u00e7in ana kampanya konusu da bu \u015fekilde ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f oldu: \u201cABD\u2019yi yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fck yapmak isteyenleri mi, ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 i\u00e7in cad\u0131 av\u0131 ba\u015flatanlar\u0131 m\u0131 se\u00e7eceksiniz?\u201d<\/p>\n
Trump\u2019\u0131n azil s\u00fcrecinden aklanarak \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, Demokratlar\u0131n 2020 y\u0131l\u0131 boyunca se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 hangi s\u00f6ylemlere dayand\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 konusunda ciddi bir i\u00e7 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ya\u015fayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmek zor de\u011fil. Trump\u2019\u0131 se\u00e7im g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar \u00e7e\u015fitli \u015fekillerde su\u00e7lamalar\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcnken, kaybedecekleri bir azil s\u00fcreci ba\u015flatarak, Ba\u015fkan\u2019a erken \u201caklanma\u201d imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunmu\u015f olmalar\u0131n\u0131n pi\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fayacaklar. Muhtemelen bu durum, Demokratlar\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc isimlerinden ve kendisini T\u00fcrkiye kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 sebebiyle yak\u0131ndan tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z Nancy Pelosi\u2019nin de siyasi kariyerinde irtifa kayb\u0131na yol a\u00e7acak.<\/p>\n
Uluslararas\u0131 alanda 2019\u2019la anaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ikinci \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme ise \u0130ngiltere se\u00e7imleri. Theresa May\u2019in ba\u015fbakanl\u0131ktan istifa etmesine sebep olan Brexit \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131, onun yerine ge\u00e7en Boris Johnson\u2019\u0131n da koltu\u011funu sallay\u0131p durdu. Fakat Johnson m\u00fcthi\u015f bir siyasi manevrayla hem Brexit\u2019i kesinle\u015ftiren hem de Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti\u2019ye d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan herhangi bir destek olmadan tek ba\u015f\u0131na iktidar olma imk\u00e2n\u0131 getiren tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z bir se\u00e7im zaferine imza att\u0131. Sadece \u0130ngiltere\u2019de de\u011fil, Fransa\u2019dan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye kadar \u00e7ok geni\u015f bir alanda \u201cyeni solun y\u00fckseli\u015finin sembol\u00fc\u201d olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen Jeremy Corbyn ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck se\u00e7im yenilgisinin ard\u0131ndan birka\u00e7 ay i\u00e7inde parti liderli\u011fini b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fuluyor.
\nJohnson\u2019\u0131n bu sonucu elde etmesinde, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin AB\u2019den \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen Brexit Partisi\u2019nin lideri Nigel Farage\u2019\u0131n 300\u2019den fazla se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesinde aday g\u00f6stermeyerek, kendi oylar\u0131n\u0131 Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti\u2019ye y\u00f6nlendirmesinin elbette pay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck. Ama Corbyn\u2019in \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi\u2019nin neredeyse 100 y\u0131ld\u0131r ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck se\u00e7im yenilgisini izah edebilece\u011fi herhangi makul bir a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 yok. 2019 \u0130ngiltere se\u00e7imi, sadece Brexit\u2019i kesinle\u015ftiren de\u011fil ama ayn\u0131 zamanda \u0130ngiltere\u2019de ve belki de t\u00fcm Avrupa\u2019da sol partilerin kendilerini se\u00e7men kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yeniden tan\u0131mlamalar\u0131 i\u00e7in bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 tarihi te\u015fkil edecek.<\/p>\n
E\u011fer yine bir erteleme karar\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmazsa, 2020\u2019nin ilk ay\u0131n\u0131n sonunda AB bir \u00fcyesini -\u00fcstelik BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi daim\u00ee \u00fcyesi olan, n\u00fckleer silah\u0131 bulunan, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomisi olan bir \u00fcyesini- kaybedecek. Muhtemelen 2020\u2019de \u0130sko\u00e7ya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u0130rlanda-Kuzey \u0130rlanda ili\u015fkileri konusu yeniden Avrupa g\u00fcndeminde \u00fcst s\u0131ralara \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n
2020\u2019nin sizler ve \u00fclkemiz i\u00e7in g\u00fczelliklerle ve ba\u015far\u0131larla dolu ge\u00e7mesini diliyorum…
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Diplomatik Muhakeme k\u00f6\u015fesinde 2008\u2019den bu yana yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m gibi, y\u0131l\u0131n son yaz\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yine geride b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z y\u0131l\u0131n en \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmelerine ay\u0131raca\u011f\u0131m. 2019\u2019da k\u00fcresel alanda en \u00e7ok ses getiren iki olaya yo\u011funla\u015faca\u011f\u0131m. Haftaya ise T\u00fcrk d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 2019\u2019u de\u011ferlendirece\u011fim… \u201c2019\u2019un en \u00f6nemli uluslararas\u0131 olay\u0131 nedir?\u201d sorusuna farkl\u0131 cevaplar verilebilir. Ama bana g\u00f6re ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump hakk\u0131nda […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12217,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[32],"class_list":["post-4917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-32"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4917"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4917\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}