{"id":4274,"date":"2018-12-09T11:44:04","date_gmt":"2018-12-09T08:44:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=4274"},"modified":"2024-03-11T14:36:12","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T11:36:12","slug":"fransanin-sari-yeleklilerle-imtihani-09-12-2018-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=4274","title":{"rendered":"Fransa\u2019n\u0131n Sar\u0131 Yeleklilerle imtihan\u0131 (09.12.2018) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin lokomotif \u00fclkeleri denildi\u011finde Fransa ve Almanya\u2019n\u0131n isimleri akla gelir. Bu iki \u00fclkenin mutabakat\u0131 olmadan AB politikalar\u0131nda hi\u00e7bir ilerleme sa\u011flanamaz. Yeni \u00fcye kabul\u00fcnden, kurumsal yap\u0131n\u0131n tadil edilmesine kadar her konuda Berlin-Paris mutabakat\u0131 yaz\u0131l\u0131 olmayan bir kesin kural h\u00e2line gelmi\u015ftir. Di\u011fer bir ifadeyle, AB\u2019nin istikrar\u0131 evvela bu iki \u00fclkenin i\u00e7 istikrar\u0131na ve kendi aralar\u0131ndaki i\u015f birli\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/div>\n<div>Fransa\u2019da Macron h\u00fck\u00fbmetini sarsmakta olan \u201cSar\u0131 Yelekliler Krizi\u201d birka\u00e7 sebepten AB\u2019nin di\u011fer \u00fclkelerini de endi\u015felendirmektedir.<\/div>\n<div>Birincisi, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bir\u00e7ok kez \u00f6rne\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi Paris sokaklar\u0131nda ba\u015flayan halk hareketleri, hemen kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131namazsa k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede \u00f6nce Bel\u00e7ika ve Hollanda\u2019ya, ard\u0131ndan Almanya\u2019ya ve Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkelerine s\u0131\u00e7rar. Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde halk\u0131n \u015fu veya bu sebeple h\u00fck\u00fbmetlerin politikalar\u0131 sebebiyle bir memnuniyetsizli\u011fi varsa, Paris\u2019ten y\u00fckselen ses Br\u00fcksel\u2019de, Berlin\u2019de, Roma\u2019da da yank\u0131 bulur. Her ne kadar AB makamlar\u0131 2008\u2019de ba\u015flayan k\u00fcresel mali krizin olumsuz etkilerinin giderildi\u011fini s\u00f6yleseler de, resm\u00ee&nbsp;raporlardaki rakamlar ile AB vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcndelik hayatta y\u00fczle\u015ftikleri ger\u00e7eklerin birbirleriyle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fmedi\u011fi s\u0131kl\u0131kla dile getiriliyor. \u0130\u00e7ten i\u00e7e devam eden ekonomik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar, en fazla dar gelirli ve orta seviyedeki Avrupal\u0131lar\u0131 etkiliyor. \u00c7o\u011fu Avrupa \u00fclkesinde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mesinin arkas\u0131nda yatan sebeplerden birinin de ekonomik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n devam etmesi oldu\u011fu biliniyor.<\/div>\n<div>H\u00e2l b\u00f6yleyken, Fransa\u2019da \u201chayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d ve \u201ci\u015fsizli\u011fi\u201d gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek sokaklara d\u00f6k\u00fclenlerin, ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerde de ayn\u0131 durumdan rahats\u0131z olanlara emsal te\u015fkil etme ihtimali y\u00fcksek. Dahas\u0131, ilk memnuniyetsizlik dalgas\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p, h\u00fck\u00fbmete geri ad\u0131m att\u0131r\u0131p, konumunu kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 andan itibaren, do\u011frudan ge\u00e7im s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131yla ilgili olmayan ba\u015fka \u201cmemnuniyetsiz\u201d kesimler de, Sar\u0131 Yelekliler\u2019in yan\u0131nda yer almaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Ge\u00e7en hafta binlerce \u00fcniversite ve lise \u00f6\u011frencisinin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steriler, Macron\u2019un kesin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getirecek \u00f6nlemleri almakta gecikmesi h\u00e2linde meselenin \u00e7ok daha ileri seviyelere ta\u015f\u0131nabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/div>\n<div>\u0130kincisi, Fransa\u2019n\u0131n ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan istikrars\u0131zla\u015fmas\u0131 bu \u00fclkedeki g\u00f6\u00e7men i\u015f\u00e7iler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da ciddi problemlere yol a\u00e7abilir. Fransa n\u00fcfusunun %12&#8217;sini ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerde do\u011fan ki\u015filer olu\u015fturuyor. Ama kentsel alanlarda ya\u015fayanlar\u0131n %20\u2019si, ba\u015fkent Paris\u2019te ya\u015fayanlar\u0131n ise %40\u2019\u0131 g\u00f6\u00e7men. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 12 milyonluk g\u00f6\u00e7men n\u00fcfusunun neredeyse yar\u0131s\u0131 AB \u00fclkelerinden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak \u00fczere Fransa\u2019ya gelip yerle\u015fen ki\u015filer. Bu grupta Portekiz, \u0130spanya, \u0130talya, \u0130ngiltere ile Polonya, Romanya ve Macaristan gibi Do\u011fu Avrupa \u00fclkeleri ba\u015fta geliyor. Fransa\u2019da i\u015fler k\u00f6t\u00fcye giderse, bu g\u00f6\u00e7menlerin -\u00f6zellikle de en son geni\u015fleme dalgas\u0131ndan sonra Do\u011fu Avrupa\u2019dan gelenlerin- \u00fclkelerine geri d\u00f6nmesi s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Tabii bu da, zaten ekonomik a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00e7ok iyi g\u00f6stergelere sahip olmayan bu \u00fclkelerde de yeni problemlerin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/div>\n<div>\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, Frans\u0131z ekonomisinin bozulmas\u0131 bu \u00fclkeyle ticaret yapan t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin ekonomilerini \u00e7e\u015fitli seviyelerde etkileyecektir. Ama en b\u00fcy\u00fck etkisi yine AB \u00fclkeleri \u00fczerinde olacakt\u0131r.<\/div>\n<div>Fransa\u2019n\u0131n en fazla ticaret yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk 10 \u00fclke s\u0131ras\u0131yla \u015f\u00f6yle: Almanya, \u0130spanya, \u0130talya, ABD, Bel\u00e7ika, \u0130ngiltere, \u00c7in, Hollanda, \u0130svi\u00e7re, Polonya&#8230; \u0130lk 10\u2019un 8\u2019i Avrupa \u00fclkesi. Yani sokak olaylar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcyerek daha b\u00fcy\u00fck siyasi ve mali krizlere yol a\u00e7ar da, Frans\u0131z ekonomisi zarar g\u00f6r\u00fcrse, otomatik olarak bu durum Fransa ile yak\u0131n ticari ili\u015fki i\u00e7inde bulunan \u00fclkeleri de derinden etkiler. Fransa \u00fcretemezse, ihracat yapamaz, ihracat yapamazsa para kazanamaz, para kazanamazsa ithalat da yapamaz. Paris\u2019teki olaylar sebebiyle turizm gelirlerindeki kay\u0131plar haberlere yans\u0131yor ama problem \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclemezse Fransa ve AB i\u00e7in ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak kay\u0131p devasa boyutlarda olabilir.<\/div>\n<div>D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, Macron H\u00fck\u00fbmeti\u2019nin devrilmesi veya siyasi g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn sars\u0131lmas\u0131, AB\u2019nin gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in hayati \u00f6neme sahip Avrupa Ordusu projesinin de suya d\u00fc\u015fmesine sebep olacakt\u0131r. Merkel\u2019in de Almanya Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan ayr\u0131lmas\u0131ndan sonra, itibar\u0131 sars\u0131lm\u0131\u015f Macron liderli\u011findeki Fransa ile hen\u00fcz devlet adaml\u0131\u011f\u0131nda r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcn\u00fc ispat etmemi\u015f m\u00fcstakbel Almanya ba\u015fbakan\u0131,&nbsp;son derece maliyetli Avrupa Ordusu projesine y\u00f6n vermekte zorlanacaklard\u0131r. Macron bir an \u00f6nce iktidar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131racak ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atmazsa, AB \u00fclkelerinde hi\u00e7bir h\u00fck\u00fbmeti -hele ABD\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131- pahal\u0131 bir savunma projesine g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek vermeleri i\u00e7in ikna edemez.<\/div>\n<div>2019 AB \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in s\u00fcrprizlerle dolu ge\u00e7ecek gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor&#8230;<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nin lokomotif \u00fclkeleri denildi\u011finde Fransa ve Almanya\u2019n\u0131n isimleri akla gelir. Bu iki \u00fclkenin mutabakat\u0131 olmadan AB politikalar\u0131nda hi\u00e7bir ilerleme sa\u011flanamaz. Yeni \u00fcye kabul\u00fcnden, kurumsal yap\u0131n\u0131n tadil edilmesine kadar her konuda Berlin-Paris mutabakat\u0131 yaz\u0131l\u0131 olmayan bir kesin kural h\u00e2line gelmi\u015ftir. Di\u011fer bir ifadeyle, AB\u2019nin istikrar\u0131 evvela bu iki \u00fclkenin i\u00e7 istikrar\u0131na ve kendi aralar\u0131ndaki i\u015f [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12630,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[9],"class_list":["post-4274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-9"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4274","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4274"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4274\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}