{"id":2028,"date":"2017-06-11T14:53:17","date_gmt":"2017-06-11T11:53:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=2028"},"modified":"2024-03-07T14:00:43","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T11:00:43","slug":"katar-neyin-faturasini-oduyor-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=2028","title":{"rendered":"Katar neyin faturas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6d\u00fcyor? (11.06.2017) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Suudi Arabistan ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde Katar\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flat\u0131lan \u2018operasyonu\u2019 son bir haftad\u0131r izliyoruz. Krizin ne y\u00f6ne gidece\u011fiyle ilgili ba\u015fl\u0131ca d\u00f6rt tahmin var.<\/span><\/p>\n

Birincisi, Katar\u2019\u0131n kendisine y\u00f6nelik taleplere direnmesi sonucunda bir asker\u00ee harek\u00e2ta maruz kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u015feklinde. B\u00f6yle bir ihtimal ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse, Katar silahl\u0131 kuvvetlerinin bir g\u00fcnden fazla dayanma ihtimali yok. Saddam H\u00fcseyin\u2019in 1990\u2019da Kuveyt\u2019i 24 saatte i\u015fgal ediverdi\u011fi gibi, Suudi Arabistan da Katar\u2019\u0131 g\u00f6z a\u00e7\u0131p kapayana kadar yutar. Neyse ki, \u015fimdilik bu ihtimal uzak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0130kincisi, Katar Emiri\u2019nin kendi \u00fclkesindeki Suudi yanl\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bask\u0131s\u0131na dayanamayarak g\u00f6revden \u00e7ekilmesi ihtimali. Bu durumda yerine kimin ge\u00e7ece\u011fini bilmiyoruz. Ama yerine kim ge\u00e7erse ge\u00e7sin taleplere olumlu cevap verecek bir isim olacakt\u0131r. 2013\u2019te de benzer bir kriz ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f ve y\u00f6netime el koydu\u011fu 1995\u2019ten itibaren \u00fclkeyi y\u00f6neten Hamad bin Halife Al Tani taht\u0131 o\u011flu \u015fimdiki emir \u015eeyh Temim bin Hamad Al Tani\u2019ye devretmi\u015fti. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla Tani ailesinden bir ferdin tahtta kalmaya devam etmesine Riyad y\u00f6netimi ye\u015fil \u0131\u015f\u0131k yakmayabilir. Emir Al Tani\u2019nin \u00fclkesinin d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndayken b\u00f6yle bir oldu-bitti ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmamak i\u00e7in ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019tan gelen Washington\u2019a gelmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki daveti geri \u00e7evirdi\u011fini g\u00f6rd\u00fck.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ihtimal, Katar\u2019\u0131n taleplerin tamam\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmesi. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131 krizin ilk bir haftas\u0131ndaki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan Katar y\u00f6netiminin b\u00f6yle bir tutum i\u00e7ine girmeyece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Katar M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler\u2019i ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc olarak g\u00f6rm\u00fcyor. El Kaide ve DEA\u015e\u2019a destek verdi\u011fi iddialar\u0131n\u0131 tamamen reddediyor. Yemen\u2019de \u0130ran yanl\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda durdu\u011fu \u015feklindeki ithamlar\u0131 da kabul etmiyor. Kendisine kar\u015f\u0131 olu\u015fturulan blokun \u00fclkeden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi\u011fi ki\u015fi ve kurumlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn zaten Katar\u2019da bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor. Yani Katar\u2019\u0131n toptan bir teslimiyet i\u00e7ine girece\u011fini g\u00f6steren bir geli\u015fme yok.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc ihtimal ise, daha \u00f6nceki krizde de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi Katar\u2019\u0131n baz\u0131 konularda geri ad\u0131m atmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu dile getirmesi sonucunda taraflar\u0131n pazarl\u0131k masas\u0131na oturmalar\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dclkesine uygulanan ablukan\u0131n hafifletilmesi ya da d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan\/i\u00e7eriden bir m\u00fcdahaleyle koltu\u011funu kaybetmemesi i\u00e7in Emir Al Tani\u2019nin pazarl\u0131k yapmaktan ba\u015fka bir se\u00e7ene\u011fi bulunmuyor. B\u00f6yle bir pazarl\u0131k masas\u0131 kurulursa, Katar\u2019\u0131n bundan sonra b\u00f6lgede ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir d\u0131\u015f politika izlemesini engelleyecek her t\u00fcrl\u00fc mekanizman\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump y\u00f6netiminin Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131 taleplerinden vazge\u00e7meye ikna etmesi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda,\u00a0 Katar\u2019\u0131n ablukadan ve hatta m\u00fcdahaleden kurtulmas\u0131n\u0131n yolu yok. ABD ise ablukan\u0131n hafifletilmesini istemekle birlikte, tamamen kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde herhangi bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yapm\u0131yor. Kald\u0131 ki, Katar krizini detaylar\u0131yla analiz edenlerin ortak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerinden biri, zaten Katar \u2018operasyonu\u2019na Trump\u2019\u0131n Suudi Arabistan ziyareti s\u0131ras\u0131nda muvafakat verilmi\u015f oldu\u011fu \u015feklinde.<\/span><\/p>\n

Peki Katar neden b\u00f6yle bir muameleye maruz kal\u0131yor? Emir Al Tani neyin faturas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6d\u00fcyor? Kendisine kar\u015f\u0131 olu\u015fturulan koalisyonun taraflar\u0131na bakarsak bu sorunun cevab\u0131 net \u015fekilde ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. B\u00f6lgedeki y\u00f6netimlerin de\u011fil, daha fazla \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck isteyenlerin yan\u0131nda durmas\u0131n\u0131n faturas\u0131 Katar\u2019a bug\u00fcn kesiliyor. M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler ve HAMAS\u2019\u0131n en \u00f6nemli finans\u00f6rlerinden olan Katar, M\u0131s\u0131r\u2019\u0131n tek ve son demokratik yollardan se\u00e7ilmi\u015f cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Mursi\u2019nin Sisi Pa\u015fa taraf\u0131ndan devrilmesi s\u00fcrecinde Suudi Arabistan ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri ile birlikte hareket etmemi\u015fti. ABD\u2019nin ter\u00f6r \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc sayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 HAMAS\u2019\u0131n Filistin halk\u0131n\u0131n me\u015fru temsilcilerinden biri oldu\u011funu kabul eden Katar bu \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn en \u00f6nemli destek\u00e7ilerinden biri olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. K\u00f6rfez b\u00f6lgesinde Suudi Arabistan ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda mezhep temelli bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ya\u015fanmas\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131nda tahripk\u00e2r sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 olabilece\u011fini savunarak Riyad\u2019la a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ters d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bug\u00fcn maruz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 muamelenin arkas\u0131nda bunlar yat\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Di\u011fer yandan, Katar b\u00f6lgede Suudi politikalar\u0131na \u2018direnebilen\u2019 tek Arap \u00fclkesi. Katar\u2019\u0131n devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalmas\u0131yla, k\u00fcresel \u00e7\u0131kar odaklar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131llard\u0131r tezg\u00e2hlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 B\u00fcy\u00fck K\u00f6rfez Sava\u015f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcndeki son engel de ortadan kalkm\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Suudi Arabistan ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde Katar\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flat\u0131lan \u2018operasyonu\u2019 son bir haftad\u0131r izliyoruz. Krizin ne y\u00f6ne gidece\u011fiyle ilgili ba\u015fl\u0131ca d\u00f6rt tahmin var. Birincisi, Katar\u2019\u0131n kendisine y\u00f6nelik taleplere direnmesi sonucunda bir asker\u00ee harek\u00e2ta maruz kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u015feklinde. B\u00f6yle bir ihtimal ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse, Katar silahl\u0131 kuvvetlerinin bir g\u00fcnden fazla dayanma ihtimali yok. Saddam H\u00fcseyin\u2019in 1990\u2019da Kuveyt\u2019i 24 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12903,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-2028","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-10"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2028","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2028"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2028\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12903"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2028"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2028"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2028"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}