{"id":1824,"date":"2016-03-06T13:50:39","date_gmt":"2016-03-06T11:50:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1824"},"modified":"2024-03-07T16:33:33","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T13:33:33","slug":"cumhuriyetciler-mi-demokratlar-mi-turkiye-icin-daha-hayirli-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1824","title":{"rendered":"Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler mi, Demokratlar m\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in daha hay\u0131rl\u0131? (06.03.2016) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 10pt;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/back\/js\/ckeditor\/fileman\/uploads\/prof_dr_cagri.erhan@2x.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 10pt;\">Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7iminde yar\u0131\u015facak adaylar\u0131 belirleyecek delegeleri se\u00e7mek i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 anda bir\u00e7ok eyalette \u2018e\u011filim yoklamas\u0131\u2019 yap\u0131ld\u0131. \u2018S\u00fcper Sal\u0131\u2019 olarak isimlendirilen bu \u00e7oklu yoklamalar \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda da birka\u00e7 kez tekrar edilecek. \u0130lkinde Cumhuriyet\u00e7i parti aday adaylar\u0131ndan Donald Trump, Demokrat parti aday adaylar\u0131ndan ise Hillary Clinton galip \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Mevcut tablo di\u011fer eyaletlerde yap\u0131lacak e\u011filim yoklamalar\u0131nda da de\u011fi\u015fmezse, bu iki isim kas\u0131mda d\u00fczenlenecek se\u00e7imde partilerinin ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131 olarak yar\u0131\u015facaklar. Siyasi, asker\u00ee ve ekonomik g\u00fcc\u00fcndeki g\u00f6reli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen halen tek hiper g\u00fc\u00e7 konumunda olan ABD\u2019de kimlerin iktidarda olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada yak\u0131ndan takip edilmesinden daha tabii bir \u015fey olamaz. H\u00e2l b\u00f6yle olunca da, bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede \u015fimdiden, Ocak 2017\u2019de ba\u015fkanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturabilecek ki\u015fi ve onun takip edece\u011fi siyasete ili\u015fkin, basit tahminlerin \u00f6tesinde, bilimsel dayanaklar\u0131 olan \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imi h\u00e2liyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de de ilgi \u00e7ekiyor. Bunu ikiye ay\u0131rarak de\u011ferlendirmek laz\u0131m. Bir yanda, devletin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde ABD\u2019yle ili\u015fkilerinin nas\u0131l \u015fekillenebilece\u011fine dair detayl\u0131 ve ayaklar\u0131 yere basan analizler haz\u0131rlayan \u00e7e\u015fitli devlet kurumlar\u0131, \u00f6zel te\u015febb\u00fcs ve onlar\u0131n i\u015f birli\u011fi h\u00e2linde oldu\u011fu uzman kurulu\u015flar var. Di\u011fer yanda da toplumun \u00e7e\u015fitli kesimlerinin yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve zaman zaman gazete k\u00f6\u015felerine de yans\u0131yan k\u0131smen y\u00fczeysel tart\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00f6z konusu. Birincisi daha kapal\u0131 kap\u0131lar ard\u0131nda, ikincisi ise kamuoyunun g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6n\u00fcnde y\u00fcr\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in, halk\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ABD\u2019deki adaylar, partiler ve onlar\u0131n muhtemel kadrolar\u0131n\u0131n takip edece\u011fi siyaset hakk\u0131ndaki izlenimleri de, daha \u00e7ok ikinci tart\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcreci \u00fczerinden olu\u015fuyor. \u015e\u00fcphesiz bu T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u00f6zg\u00fc de\u011fil. Kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcnde, televizyon ekranlar\u0131nda ve gazetelerde yap\u0131lan ABD se\u00e7imi tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n pop\u00fclist s\u00f6ylemler i\u00e7ermesi, s\u0131\u011f bilgi k\u0131r\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131yla bezenmi\u015f temenni yumaklar\u0131ndan te\u015fekk\u00fcl etmesi d\u00fcnyan\u0131n d\u00f6rt bir k\u00f6\u015fesinde ziyadesiyle yayg\u0131n bir durum. \u0130kili ili\u015fkilerdeki uyu\u015fmazl\u0131k alanlar\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde artmas\u0131 sebebiyle, \u00fclkemizdeki tart\u0131\u015fma ortam\u0131 sadece biraz daha yo\u011fun ve duygusal. D\u0131\u015f politikan\u0131n kamuoyunun ilgisini \u00e7ekmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 son 40-50 y\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurursak, esasen 1968 ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7iminden bu yana T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de geni\u015f halk kitlelerinin d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda bir iki temel soru \u00fczerinden ABD\u2019deki adaylar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeye tabi tuttu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebiliriz: \u2018Hangi aday T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi seviyor?\u2019 \u2018Hangi partinin kadrolar\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin mill\u00ee menfaatlerine daha s\u0131cak bak\u0131yor?\u2019 Bu iki soru, h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda devam eden ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131n\u0131 belirleme s\u00fcrecinde s\u0131kl\u0131kla sorulmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Adaylar netle\u015ftikten sonra da, ABD se\u00e7imiyle ilgili televizyon ve gazete haberlerinde bu sorular daha \u00e7ok g\u00fcndeme gelecek. Daha \u00f6nce defalarca oldu\u011fu gibi. \u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta anlaml\u0131 gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckseler de, bu sorulara verilecek basit cevaplar \u2018yeni\u2019 ABD y\u00f6netiminin T\u00fcrkiye ile y\u00fcr\u00fctebilece\u011fi ili\u015fkilerin sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir analizinin yap\u0131lmas\u0131na zemin olu\u015fturamaz. Adaylar\u0131n herhangi birinin \u2018T\u00fcrkiye d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131\u2019 oldu\u011fu yorumu ya da bir partinin muhtemel y\u00f6netim kadrosunda yer alabilecek bir ismin T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a kar\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendirmesi ancak ba\u015fka verilerle desteklendi\u011fi, ikili, \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131, b\u00f6lgesel ve k\u00fcresel de\u011fi\u015fkenler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flendi\u011fi vakit bir mana kazanabilir. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki bir\u00e7ok \u00f6rnekte g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere, se\u00e7im \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fck sempati uyand\u0131ran, hatta se\u00e7ildikten sonra da bir s\u00fcre T\u00fcrkiye ile \u00e7ok yak\u0131n ili\u015fkiler geli\u015ftiren bir ba\u015fkan, bir s\u00fcre sonra i\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f dinamiklerde meydana gelen de\u011fi\u015fiklikler sebebiyle, tam aksi istikamette bir tav\u0131r tak\u0131nabilir. \u00c7ok gerilere gitmeden, mevcut ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Barack H\u00fcseyin Obama\u2019n\u0131n ilk y\u0131llar\u0131ndaki T\u00fcrkiye-ABD ili\u015fkilerinin durumuyla, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc durum aras\u0131nda mukayese yapmak yeterlidir. Zannediyorum ki, \u00fclkemizde yap\u0131lan ABD\u2019yle ilgili de\u011ferlendirmelerde en s\u0131k tekrar etti\u011fimiz hata, ABD devlet y\u00f6netiminde ki\u015filerin katk\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 oldu\u011fundan daha b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00f6rmemizdir. Hatta baz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z, \u2018ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 ne derse o olur\u2019 san\u0131yor. ABD se\u00e7im s\u00fcrecini biraz farkl\u0131 g\u00f6zle izlersek, belki bu kez daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeler yapma ihtimalimiz artar&#8230;<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7iminde yar\u0131\u015facak adaylar\u0131 belirleyecek delegeleri se\u00e7mek i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 anda bir\u00e7ok eyalette \u2018e\u011filim yoklamas\u0131\u2019 yap\u0131ld\u0131. \u2018S\u00fcper Sal\u0131\u2019 olarak isimlendirilen bu \u00e7oklu yoklamalar \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda da birka\u00e7 kez tekrar edilecek. \u0130lkinde Cumhuriyet\u00e7i parti aday adaylar\u0131ndan Donald Trump, Demokrat parti aday adaylar\u0131ndan ise Hillary Clinton galip \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Mevcut tablo di\u011fer eyaletlerde yap\u0131lacak e\u011filim [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13193,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[11],"class_list":["post-1824","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete","tag-11"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1824","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1824"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1824\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13193"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1824"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1824"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1824"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}