{"id":1671,"date":"2015-07-05T15:01:50","date_gmt":"2015-07-05T12:01:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1671"},"modified":"2024-03-07T17:52:25","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T14:52:25","slug":"suriyeye-mudahale-etmeden-once-okuyunuz-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1671","title":{"rendered":"Suriye’ye m\u00fcdahale etmeden \u00f6nce okuyunuz (05.07.2015) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"

1917-1920 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda Fransa Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f olan Georges Clemenceau’nun \u00e7ok bilinen bir c\u00fcmlesi vard\u0131r: “Sava\u015f askerlere b\u0131rak\u0131lmayacak kadar ciddi bir i\u015ftir.”<\/span><\/p>\n

\u015e\u00fcphesiz bu s\u00f6z asker\u00ee g\u00fcc\u00fcn ve cephede ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in sahip olunmas\u0131 gereken stratejik ve taktik kapasitenin \u00f6nemini k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsemek i\u00e7in s\u00f6ylenmi\u015f de\u011fildir. Aksine, ister realist ister idealist ekole mensup olsunlar t\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkiler uzmanlar\u0131 asker\u00ee g\u00fcc\u00fcn bir devletin uluslararas\u0131 alandaki konumu ve etkinli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nemin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izmi\u015flerdir. Clemenceau’nun c\u00fcmlesine s\u0131kl\u0131kla at\u0131f yapanlar, sava\u015flar\u0131n siyasi karakterinin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7izerek, bir devletin silahl\u0131 operasyona giri\u015fmesinde siyasi otoritenin alaca\u011f\u0131 kararlar\u0131n ne denli \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve t\u00fcm sorumlulu\u011fun da siyasi otoritede oldu\u011funu vurgulamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rlar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Son d\u00f6rt y\u0131ld\u0131r Suriye’yi konu\u015fuyoruz. T\u00fcrkiye-Suriye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda bir tampon b\u00f6lge\/g\u00fcvenli b\u00f6lge tesis edilmesi konusu en az \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r T\u00fcrkiye’nin g\u00fcndeminde yer al\u0131yor. Ankara, Suriye muhaliflerini ABD ile birlikte e\u011fitip donat\u0131yor. Suriye’de \u00e7at\u0131\u015fan taraflara -Kobani’de oldu\u011fu gibi- lojistik destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Bug\u00fcn de, T\u00fcrkiye’nin Suriye’ye bir asker\u00ee m\u00fcdahalede bulunmas\u0131n\u0131n an meselesi oldu\u011fu s\u00f6yleniyor. Askere ‘gereken her t\u00fcrl\u00fc tedbirin al\u0131nmas\u0131’ i\u00e7in yaz\u0131l\u0131 talimat verildi\u011fi, askerin harek\u00e2t planlar\u0131n\u0131 olgunla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131ra yo\u011fun asker\u00ee sevkiyat yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 haber b\u00fcltenlerinde yer al\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0130ster Suriye’de olsun, isterse ba\u015fka bir yerde, \u015fayet T\u00fcrkiye topraklar\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda silahl\u0131 kuvvetlerin devreye sokulaca\u011f\u0131 bir eylem ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecekse evvela \u015fu yedi hususun a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131\u011fa kavu\u015fturulmas\u0131 gerekir:<\/span><\/p>\n

1- Harek\u00e2t\u0131n siyasi hedefi nedir?<\/span><\/p>\n

2- S\u00f6z konusu siyasi hedefe ne kadar s\u00fcrede ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 hedeflenmektedir?<\/span><\/p>\n

3- Harek\u00e2t alan\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 neresidir?<\/span><\/p>\n

4- Harek\u00e2t karar\u0131 anayasaya uygun mudur?<\/span><\/p>\n

5- Yap\u0131lacak eylem uluslararas\u0131 hukuka uygun mudur?<\/span><\/p>\n

6- Harek\u00e2t\u0131n ekonomik maliyet analizi yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f m\u0131d\u0131r? A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 yukar\u0131 ne kadar harcama \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir? Bu giderin hangi kaynaklardan kar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir?<\/span><\/p>\n

7- \u0130\u015flerin planland\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi gitmemesi durumunda bir ‘B Plan\u0131’ var m\u0131d\u0131r?<\/span><\/p>\n

Yetkililerin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen bu sorular\u0131n hi\u00e7birine somut bir cevap alamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131 samimiyetle itiraf etmek zorunday\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Suriye’ye, ‘\u00fclkemize yeni misafirler gelmesin’ diye mi; ‘Bay\u0131rbucak T\u00fcrkleri etnik temizli\u011fe maruz kalmas\u0131nlar’ diye mi; ‘PYD devlet kurmas\u0131n’ diye mi; ‘Esad’\u0131 devirmek i\u00e7in’ mi; ‘I\u015e\u0130D’i durdurmak i\u00e7in’ mi yoksa bu hedeflerin birka\u00e7\u0131na birden ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in mi girilmesi planlan\u0131yor, anlayabilmi\u015f de\u011filim. Bunu anlayamad\u0131\u011f\u0131m i\u00e7in, muhtemel harek\u00e2t\u0131n nerede ve ne s\u00fcreyle yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da kestiremiyorum.<\/span><\/p>\n

Anayasa’ya uygunluk konusu ise apayr\u0131 bir sorun. Zira sava\u015f halini ve  yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131na silahl\u0131 kuvvet g\u00f6nderilmesini d\u00fczenleyen 92. Madde ‘Milletleraras\u0131 hukukun me\u015fru sayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 hallerde’ ibaresiyle ba\u015fl\u0131yor. B\u00f6yle olunca da, uluslararas\u0131 hukuka uygun olmayan herhangi bir asker\u00ee harek\u00e2t\u0131n, bizim i\u00e7 hukukumuz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 ger\u00e7e\u011fiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/span>
\nSuriye topraklar\u0131nda herhangi bir devletin veya uluslararas\u0131 \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn operasyon yapmas\u0131na imkan sa\u011flayan bir BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi karar\u0131 hen\u00fcz al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye e\u011fer Suriye topraklar\u0131na girerse, bunu uluslararas\u0131 alanda kabul g\u00f6recek me\u015fru bir zemine oturtmak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00e7aba g\u00f6stermek zorunda kalabilir. Harek\u00e2t -e\u011fer varsa- stratejik hedefine ula\u015fmadan sona erdirilebilir. 1990’larda Irak’a d\u00fczenlenen ve her seferinde d\u0131\u015f bask\u0131lar sebebiyle yar\u0131m b\u0131rak\u0131lan operasyonlar\u0131 hat\u0131rlayal\u0131m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekonomik maliyet konusu ise bizde genellikle ‘ay\u0131p’ telakki edilen hususlardand\u0131r. Nedense ABD’nin d\u0131\u015f operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n maliyetini b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnya gibi biz de bol bol konu\u015furuz da, h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerimizin ‘milli menfaatlerimiz i\u00e7in zorunlu oldu\u011funu’ s\u00f6yledi\u011fi baz\u0131 eylemlerin ka\u00e7a mal olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 sormak akl\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n ucuna dahi gelmez. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bize ilkokuldan itibaren ‘milli menfaatin parayla \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclemeyece\u011fi’ \u00f6\u011fretilmi\u015ftir. Neden sonra bir devlet b\u00fcy\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz, ‘K\u0131br\u0131s bize ne kadara mal oldu biliyor musunuz?’ dedi\u011finde afallar\u0131z. Halbuki, \u00e7ok iyi planlanmam\u0131\u015f, hangi ‘milli menfaate’ hizmet edece\u011fi tan\u0131mlanmam\u0131\u015f, hukuksal a\u00e7\u0131dan sorunlu, B plan\u0131 i\u00e7ermeyen her t\u00fcrl\u00fc eylem i\u00e7in, ‘bunun i\u00e7in devlet b\u00fct\u00e7esinden ne kadar para gidecek?’ diye sormak her vatanda\u015f\u0131n sadece hakk\u0131 de\u011fil, \u00f6devidir de.<\/span><\/p>\n

Clemenceau’nun s\u00f6z\u00fcyle ba\u015flad\u0131k, Henry Kissinger’in Vietnam Sava\u015f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda 1969’da sarf etti\u011fi c\u00fcmlelerle bitirelim:<\/strong><\/span>
\n“Biz asker\u00ee bir sava\u015f y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fck, d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131m\u0131z ise siyasi. Biz onlar\u0131 fiziki olarak y\u0131pratmak pe\u015findeydik, onlar ise bizi siyasi olarak y\u0131pratman\u0131n pe\u015finde. S\u00fcre\u00e7 devam ederken gerilla sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n en \u00f6nemli d\u00fcsturlar\u0131ndan birini g\u00f6zden ka\u00e7\u0131rd\u0131k: Gerilla, e\u011fer kaybetmezse kazan\u0131r; d\u00fczenli ordu e\u011fer kazanamazsa kaybeder.”<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

1917-1920 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131nda Fransa Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f olan Georges Clemenceau’nun \u00e7ok bilinen bir c\u00fcmlesi vard\u0131r: “Sava\u015f askerlere b\u0131rak\u0131lmayacak kadar ciddi bir i\u015ftir.” \u015e\u00fcphesiz bu s\u00f6z asker\u00ee g\u00fcc\u00fcn ve cephede ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in sahip olunmas\u0131 gereken stratejik ve taktik kapasitenin \u00f6nemini k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcmsemek i\u00e7in s\u00f6ylenmi\u015f de\u011fildir. Aksine, ister realist ister idealist ekole mensup olsunlar t\u00fcm uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkiler uzmanlar\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13399,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1671","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1671","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1671"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1671\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13399"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}