{"id":16642,"date":"2024-10-13T11:05:50","date_gmt":"2024-10-13T08:05:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=16642"},"modified":"2024-11-29T14:18:47","modified_gmt":"2024-11-29T11:18:47","slug":"270i-bulan-kazanacak-turkiye-gazetesi-13-10-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=16642","title":{"rendered":"270&#8217;i bulan kazanacak \u2013 T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi (13.10.2024) Bu yaz\u0131da sesli dinleme se\u00e7ene\u011fi mevcuttur."},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"16642\" class=\"elementor elementor-16642\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5f0b835b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5f0b835b\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5ed1f9d7\" data-id=\"5ed1f9d7\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4ad4acf elementor-widget elementor-widget-wp-widget-media_audio\" data-id=\"4ad4acf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"wp-widget-media_audio.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<audio class=\"wp-audio-shortcode\" id=\"audio-16642-1\" preload=\"none\" style=\"width: 100%;\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"audio\/mpeg\" src=\"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/270i-bulan-kazanacak-\u2013-Turkiye-Gazetesi-13.10.2024.mp3?_=1\" \/><source type=\"audio\/mpeg\" src=\"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/270i-bulan-kazanacak-\u2013-Turkiye-Gazetesi-13.10.2024.mp3?_=1\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/270i-bulan-kazanacak-\u2013-Turkiye-Gazetesi-13.10.2024.mp3\">https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/270i-bulan-kazanacak-\u2013-Turkiye-Gazetesi-13.10.2024.mp3<\/a><\/audio>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1381ae17 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1381ae17\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"980\" height=\"980\" src=\"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/sign-of-the-podcast-symbol-is-isolated-on-a-white-background-podcast-icon-color-editable-vector-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16663\" style=\"width:60px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/sign-of-the-podcast-symbol-is-isolated-on-a-white-background-podcast-icon-color-editable-vector-1.jpg 980w, https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/sign-of-the-podcast-symbol-is-isolated-on-a-white-background-podcast-icon-color-editable-vector-1-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/sign-of-the-podcast-symbol-is-isolated-on-a-white-background-podcast-icon-color-editable-vector-1-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/sign-of-the-podcast-symbol-is-isolated-on-a-white-background-podcast-icon-color-editable-vector-1-768x768.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 980px) 100vw, 980px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imine \u00fc\u00e7 hafta kald\u0131. Amerikan bas\u0131n\u0131nda Filistin&#8217;de s\u00fcregiden soyk\u0131r\u0131m ve \u0130srail-\u0130ran gerginli\u011fi \u00e7ok az yer buluyor. Ukrayna meselesi ise epeydir g\u00fcndemden d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Amerikal\u0131lar ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imine odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumdalar. Bir de b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u0131k\u0131ma yol a\u00e7an kas\u0131rgalara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Ba\u015fkan Joe Biden&#8217;\u0131n Demokrat Parti&#8217;nin ileri gelenleri taraf\u0131ndan adayl\u0131ktan \u00e7ekilmeye zorlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan aday olan Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Kamala Harris, bas\u0131n\u0131n ve Hollywood&#8217;un g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc deste\u011fiyle kampanyas\u0131na \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Eski Ba\u015fkan Trump&#8217;\u0131 &#8220;\u015feytanla\u015ft\u0131ran&#8221;, Biden&#8217;\u0131n yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Harris&#8217;i ise &#8220;her derde deva g\u00f6steren&#8221; bir\u00e7ok medya kurulu\u015fu \u00f6zellikle 10 Eyl\u00fcl&#8217;deki Harris-Trump televizyon m\u00fcnazaras\u0131 sonras\u0131nda Harris&#8217;i erkenden se\u00e7imin galibi ilan etmi\u015fti. Ama aradan ge\u00e7en bir ay zarf\u0131nda i\u015fler de\u011fi\u015fti. Harris ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ivmeyi kaybetmeye, Trump ise y\u00fckselmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">ABD se\u00e7im sisteminde \u00fclkede en \u00e7ok oyu alan de\u011fil, 538 ki\u015filik se\u00e7men kurulundan (electoral college) en az 270 oyu alan aday ipi g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcsl\u00fcyor. Eyaletlerin se\u00e7men kurulu i\u00e7indeki a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 n\u00fcfuslar\u0131na g\u00f6re belirleniyor. Bir oy farkla da olsa bir eyalette oylar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funu elde eden aday, o eyaletin se\u00e7men kurulundaki t\u00fcm oylar\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131yor. 2016 se\u00e7iminde Hillary Clinton ile yar\u0131\u015fan Donald Trump 306, rakibi ise 232 se\u00e7men kurulu oyu alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 2020 se\u00e7iminde ise durum tersine d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f, 306 oy alan Biden, 232 oy alan Trump&#8217;\u0131 ma\u011flup etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">10 Ekim itibar\u0131yla, ABD&#8217;de yap\u0131lan se\u00e7im anketlerinin ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re Harris&#8217;in \u00fclke \u00e7ap\u0131ndaki oy oran\u0131 %49,3. Trump&#8217;a destek ise %46,9. Geriye kalan oylar di\u011fer partilere ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z adaylara gidiyor. \u0130lk bak\u0131\u015fta Harris&#8217;in az farkla da olsa se\u00e7imi kazanaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc olsa da i\u015f se\u00e7im kurulu oylar\u0131na gelince tablo de\u011fi\u015fiyor. 43 eyalette se\u00e7imi kimin kazanaca\u011f\u0131 neredeyse kesin. Geriye kalan yedi eyalette ise yar\u0131\u015f kafa kafaya s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Georgia, Kuzey Karolayna ve Arizona&#8217;da Trump Harris&#8217;in yakla\u015f\u0131k %1 puan \u00f6n\u00fcnde. Bu eyaletlerin toplam se\u00e7im kurulu \u00fcye say\u0131s\u0131 43. Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin ve Michigan&#8217;da ise Harris Trump&#8217;\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %1 puan \u00f6n\u00fcnde gidiyor. Bunlar\u0131n toplam se\u00e7im kurulu \u00fcye say\u0131s\u0131 ise 50. Yani 93 adet ikincil se\u00e7men oyunun hangi adaya gidece\u011fi se\u00e7ime \u00e7ok az kala kesinlik kazanm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. Bu oylar\u0131 d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, t\u00fcm anketlerin ortalamas\u0131na g\u00f6re Harris 226, Trump ise 219 se\u00e7im kurulu \u00fcyesi topluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">H\u00e2l b\u00f6yle olunca her iki aday da son d\u00fczl\u00fc\u011fe girilirken t\u00fcm g\u00fc\u00e7leriyle s\u00f6z konusu yedi eyalete y\u00fckleniyor. Bunlar aras\u0131nda en \u00e7ok se\u00e7im kurulu \u00fcyesine sahip olan Pennsylvania ise, Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7ok sevdi\u011fi tabirle tam bir &#8220;se\u00e7im muharebe alan\u0131na&#8221; d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda. Eyaletin 19 oyunu alabilmek i\u00e7in zorlu bir yar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Harris son bir ay\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 Pennsylvania&#8217;da ge\u00e7irdi. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz per\u015fembe eski Ba\u015fkan Barack H\u00fcseyin Obama da Pittsburg&#8217;daki bir mitingde se\u00e7menin \u00f6n\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131karak Harris i\u00e7in oy istedi. Harris&#8217;in adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta so\u011fuk bakan Obama&#8217;n\u0131n sahaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve \u00f6zellikle siyah se\u00e7menleri sand\u0131\u011fa davet etmesi, Harris&#8217;in bu eyaletteki \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Pennsylvania anketlerine g\u00f6re Harris ile Trump aras\u0131ndaki oy fark\u0131 sadece %0.8. 2020 se\u00e7iminde Biden bu eyaleti % 0.72 oy fark\u0131yla kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Di\u011fer bir &#8220;muharebe alan\u0131&#8221; da Michigan. Biden&#8217;\u0131n aday olmas\u0131 durumunda bu eyaleti Trump&#8217;\u0131n en az %3 oy fark\u0131yla kazanaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyordu. Harris ise \u015fu an Trump&#8217;\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %1 \u00f6n\u00fcnde gidiyor. 16 adet se\u00e7im kurulu oyuna sahip bu eyalette siyahiler Harris&#8217;i g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde destekliyorlar. Michigan eyaleti en kalabal\u0131k Arap-M\u00fcsl\u00fcman k\u00f6kenli se\u00e7men grubuna sahip. 2020&#8217;de Biden Trump kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 155 bin oy fark\u0131yla kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Michigan&#8217;daki kay\u0131tl\u0131 Arap se\u00e7men say\u0131s\u0131 200 bin civar\u0131nda. Harris&#8217;i destekleyen baz\u0131 Amerikan bas\u0131n kurulu\u015flar\u0131, Biden y\u00f6netiminin Gazze soyk\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ve \u0130srail&#8217;in L\u00fcbnan sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki tutumu sebebiyle sand\u0131\u011fa gitmeyebileceklerini ya da ba\u015fka bir adaya oy verebileceklerini, bunun ise Harris&#8217;in bu eyaleti kaybetmesine yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi yorumunu yap\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Son se\u00e7im anketlerinin ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ABD&#8217;de kad\u0131n se\u00e7menlerin Harris&#8217;e (%52), erkek se\u00e7menlerin ise Trump&#8217;a (%51) daha fazla destek verdikleri g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Beyaz Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n %55&#8217;i Trump&#8217;\u0131, %41 &#8216;i Harris&#8217;i destekliyor. Obama&#8217;n\u0131n da deste\u011fini alan Harris, siyahi Amerikal\u0131lar\u0131n %79&#8217;u taraf\u0131ndan destekleniyor. Ama Trump \u00f6zellikle siyahi erkekler aras\u0131ndaki destek oran\u0131n\u0131 son bir ayda dikkat \u00e7ekici \u015fekilde art\u0131r\u0131yor. Latin k\u00f6kenli Amerikal\u0131 se\u00e7menlerin %54&#8217;\u00fc de Harris&#8217;e oy vereceklerini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Harris&#8217;e en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek 18-30 ya\u015f aras\u0131ndaki se\u00e7menlerden geliyor. Se\u00e7men ya\u015f\u0131 ilerledik\u00e7e ve e\u011fitim seviyesi d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck\u00e7e Trump&#8217;a destek art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">Trump&#8217;\u0131n se\u00e7imi kazanabilmesi i\u00e7in \u015fu an Harris&#8217;in \u00e7ok az farkla \u00f6nde oldu\u011fu d\u00f6rt eyaletin en az ikisinde kazanmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu noktada siyahi ve Latin oylar\u0131 \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli h\u00e2le geliyor. Zira siyahilerin %3&#8217;\u00fc, Latinlerin ise %6&#8217;s\u0131 bu iki adaydan ba\u015fka adaylara oy vereceklerini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\">270&#8217;i bulan aday kazanacak. G\u00f6r\u00fclen o ki, m\u00fccadele son g\u00fcne kadar k\u0131ran k\u0131rana devam edecek.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-e1a18d9 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"e1a18d9\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-beb926a\" data-id=\"beb926a\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ABD ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imine \u00fc\u00e7 hafta kald\u0131. Amerikan bas\u0131n\u0131nda Filistin&#8217;de s\u00fcregiden soyk\u0131r\u0131m ve \u0130srail-\u0130ran gerginli\u011fi \u00e7ok az yer buluyor. Ukrayna meselesi ise epeydir g\u00fcndemden d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Amerikal\u0131lar ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imine odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumdalar. Bir de b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u0131k\u0131ma yol a\u00e7an kas\u0131rgalara. Ba\u015fkan Joe Biden&#8217;\u0131n Demokrat Parti&#8217;nin ileri gelenleri taraf\u0131ndan adayl\u0131ktan \u00e7ekilmeye zorlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan aday olan Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Kamala Harris, bas\u0131n\u0131n [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":16868,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16642","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16642","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16642"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16642\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/16868"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16642"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16642"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16642"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}