Haftaya ABD’nin ba\u015fkenti Washington’da NATO liderler zirvesi toplanacak. \u0130ttifak’\u0131n kurulu\u015funun 75. y\u0131l\u0131 dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00f6zel bir \u00f6nem atfedilen toplant\u0131 k\u00fcresel bir\u00e7ok belirsizli\u011fin g\u00f6lgesinde yap\u0131lacak. T\u00fcrkiye’nin t\u00fcm bar\u0131\u015f giri\u015fimlerine ra\u011fmen Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn h\u0131z\u0131yla s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Gazze’ye y\u00f6nelik \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bitmedi\u011fi ve HAMAS ile \u0130srail aras\u0131nda bir ate\u015fkesin temin edilemedi\u011fi bir ortamda, \u0130srail ile Hizbullah aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma yeni bir L\u00fcbnan sava\u015f\u0131 ihtimalini g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. Zaman zaman seviyesi d\u00fc\u015fse de \u00c7in-Tayvan gerilimi de t\u0131rmanma e\u011filimini koruyor.
D\u00fcnyan\u0131n sinir u\u00e7lar\u0131ndaki stresin yan\u0131nda, \u00f6nde gelen \u00fcyelerin baz\u0131lar\u0131ndaki siyasi belirsizlikler de ittifak’\u0131n gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in yeni \u015f\u00fcphe kaynaklar\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.
Eski ba\u015fkan ve 2025-2029 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in ba\u015fkan aday\u0131 Donald Trump’la yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 televizyon m\u00fcnazaras\u0131ndaki zay\u0131f performans\u0131 sebebiyle ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Joe Biden’\u0131n adayl\u0131ktan \u00e7ekilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde kendi partisi i\u00e7inden gelen bask\u0131lar her ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn art\u0131yor. M\u00fcnazara \u00f6ncesinde iki ba\u015fkan aday\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fa ba\u015f bir yar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7inde oldu\u011fu anketlere yans\u0131m\u0131\u015fken, m\u00fcnazaradan sonra Trump, Biden kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda en az 10 puan \u00f6ne ge\u00e7mi\u015f g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.
NATO’nun fikir babas\u0131 ve kurucusu olan ABD’nin d\u00fcmeninde kimin oturaca\u011f\u0131 \u0130ttifak’\u0131n gelecekteki stratejisi ve politikalar\u0131 i\u00e7in son derece \u00f6nemli. Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6neminde NATO’yu hedef alan sert tenkitlere imza atan Trump’\u0131n tekrar ba\u015fkan olmas\u0131 durumunda Rusya’yla daha farkl\u0131 bir ili\u015fki kurmaya niyetli oldu\u011fu bir s\u0131r de\u011fil. Biden’\u0131n politikalar\u0131n\u0131n Rusya’y\u0131 \u00c7in’e yakla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ABD a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan as\u0131l tehdit olan \u00c7in’in son d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fini savunan Trump ve ekibi, ne yap\u0131p edip Moskova-Beijing yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bitirmek gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.
ABD’de, \u015fu ana kadar “adayl\u0131ktan \u00e7ekilmeyece\u011fim” demeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcren Biden’\u0131n kaybetmesi ya da adayl\u0131ktan \u00e7ekilirse yerine gelen ki\u015finin de Trump kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda tutunamamas\u0131 durumunda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftaki NATO toplant\u0131s\u0131nda al\u0131nmas\u0131 beklenen baz\u0131 kararlar\u0131n gelecek y\u0131llarda uygulanamamas\u0131 durumu s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. NATO’yu Rusya ile daha fazla s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fme h\u00e2line sokabilecek kararlar\u0131n, ABD’deki siyasi belirsizli\u011fe ra\u011fmen mevcut ABD y\u00f6netimi taraf\u0131ndan hayata ge\u00e7irilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 ittifak’\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir risk unsuru ta\u015f\u0131yor.
Di\u011fer yandan, yine kurulu\u015f d\u00f6neminden bu yana NATO i\u00e7inde ABD’nin \u00f6n\u015farts\u0131z destek\u00e7isi olan \u0130ngiltere’de (Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k) yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imin kesin galibi muhalefetteki i\u015f\u00e7i Partisi oldu. Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti’den \u00e7o\u011fu alanda ayr\u0131\u015fsa da i\u015f\u00e7i Partisi’nin Ukrayna’ya destek hususunda farkl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesi yok. Hatta partinin g\u00f6lge d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri ve savunma bakanlar\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz haftalarda Kiev’e giderek, iktidara geldiklerinde Ukrayna’ya deste\u011fi art\u0131rarak s\u00fcrd\u00fcreceklerini taahh\u00fct ettiler. Bunda \u015fa\u015f\u0131lacak bir \u015fey bulunmuyor. Zira 2003’te ABD’nin mesnetsiz Irak sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc deste\u011fi veren h\u00fck\u00fcmet de Tony Blair’in lideri oldu\u011fu i\u015f\u00e7i Partisi h\u00fck\u00fcmetiydi. Fakat Trump’\u0131n ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve \u00fclkesinin Ukrayna politikas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi h\u00e2linde \u0130ngiltere’nin nas\u0131l bir tav\u0131r i\u00e7inde olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kestirmek zor.
Fransa siyaseti de NATO a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirsizlikler do\u011furuyor. Erken se\u00e7imin ilk turundan Le Pen’in Mill\u00ee i\u00e7tima Partisi zaferle \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bug\u00fcn yap\u0131lmakta olan ikinci turda Macron’un hedefi, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f\u0131n h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olacak sandalye say\u0131s\u0131na ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek. Macron’un \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131na uyan 200’den fazla aday se\u00e7imden \u00e7ekilerek, Le Pen’e kar\u015f\u0131 blok olu\u015fturulmas\u0131n\u0131n yolunu a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu ak\u015fam a\u00e7\u0131klanacak sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re Le Pen’in Meclis’te mutlak \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu elde edememesi s\u00f6z konusu olsa bile, eskiye nazaran \u00e7ok daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir muhalefet yapma g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip olaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k. Bu da Macron’un Ukrayna’ya Frans\u0131z askeri g\u00f6nderme d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini sekteye u\u011fratabilir. Son bir hamleyle Mill\u00ee i\u00e7tima’n\u0131n ve siyasi m\u00fcttefiklerinin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu elde etmeleri durumunda ise Macron’un Ukrayna politikas\u0131n\u0131n tarihe g\u00f6m\u00fclmesi s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. B\u00f6yle bir ortamda NATO zirvesinde Macron’un sesi de daha c\u0131l\u0131z \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.
75 y\u0131ll\u0131k tarihinde NATO ilk kez b\u00f6yle siyasi belirsizliklerin oldu\u011fu bir manzarada toplan\u0131yor. Geleneksel aile foto\u011fraf\u0131nda, gitmesine kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131lan bir ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131, g\u00f6revinin daha ilk haftas\u0131n\u0131 doldurmadan zirveye kat\u0131lacak olan bir \u0130ngiltere Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 ve se\u00e7imden h\u0131rpalanarak \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f bir Fransa Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olacak. Bu ki\u015filer NATO’nun n\u00fckleer silah sahibi ve BM G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi daim\u00ee \u00fcyesi olan \u00fcyelerinin liderleri. Ne diyelim? “Nice 75 y\u0131llara!”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Haftaya ABD’nin ba\u015fkenti Washington’da NATO liderler zirvesi toplanacak. \u0130ttifak’\u0131n kurulu\u015funun 75. y\u0131l\u0131 dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00f6zel bir \u00f6nem atfedilen toplant\u0131 k\u00fcresel bir\u00e7ok belirsizli\u011fin g\u00f6lgesinde yap\u0131lacak. T\u00fcrkiye’nin t\u00fcm bar\u0131\u015f giri\u015fimlerine ra\u011fmen Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn h\u0131z\u0131yla s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Gazze’ye y\u00f6nelik \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bitmedi\u011fi ve HAMAS ile \u0130srail aras\u0131nda bir ate\u015fkesin temin edilemedi\u011fi bir ortamda, \u0130srail ile Hizbullah aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma yeni […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":16143,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16142","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16142"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16142\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/16143"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16142"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16142"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16142"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}