{"id":1446,"date":"2013-01-29T10:30:42","date_gmt":"2013-01-29T08:30:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1446"},"modified":"2024-03-11T16:03:46","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T13:03:46","slug":"abnin-akibeti-mechul-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1446","title":{"rendered":"AB’nin ak\u0131beti me\u00e7hul (29.01.2013) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130ngiltere Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 David Cameron’un, \u00fclkesinin AB \u00fcyeli\u011fiyle ilgili s\u00f6zleri Br\u00fcksel’de k\u0131yameti kopard\u0131. Cameron, 2015’te yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerde Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti’nin tekrar iktidara gelmesi halinde, \u0130ngiltere’nin AB \u00fcyeli\u011fi konusunu referanduma g\u00f6t\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. Almanya ve Fransa’yla birlikte AB’nin en \u00f6nemli \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkesinden birinin Birlik’ten \u00e7\u0131kma ihtimalinin belirmesi, gelecek g\u00fcnlerin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n tek uluslar\u00fcst\u00fc \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc i\u00e7in pek parlak olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi. Asl\u0131nda AB Anayasal Antla\u015fmas\u0131’n\u0131n 2005’te reddedilmesinden sonra, 1990’lar\u0131n pop\u00fcler konusu olan “\u00e7ok vitesli Avrupa” tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 yeniden g\u00fcndeme gelmi\u015fti. Ekonomik krizin baz\u0131 AB \u00fcyelerinin y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerini yerine getirememesi sonucunu do\u011furmas\u0131, \u00fcyelerin AB b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fmesinin sadece se\u00e7ilmi\u015f alanlar\u0131na dahil olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren “esnek entegrasyon” kavram\u0131n\u0131n iyice tart\u0131\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Euro ve Schengen alanlar\u0131n\u0131n, ancak sorumluluklar\u0131 \u00fcstlenebilecek, nispeten daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fclkelere a\u00e7\u0131k hale getirilmesi Br\u00fcksel’deki en s\u0131cak tart\u0131\u015fma konusu haline gelmi\u015fti. Fakat zaten Euro ve Schengen alanlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olmay\u0131 tercih eden \u0130ngiltere’nin, \u00fcyelikten tamamen \u00e7\u0131kmay\u0131 dillendirmesi a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131 kimsenin beklemedi\u011fi bir geli\u015fme oldu. AB’nin bug\u00fcnk\u00fc hukuki yap\u0131s\u0131nda, bir \u00fcye \u00fclkenin Birlik’ten ayr\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczenleyen h\u00fck\u00fcmler mevcut. Yani AB’ye \u00fcyelik “Katolik evlili\u011fi” de\u011fil. \u0130steyen \u00fclke, Antla\u015fma’da belirlenen usule g\u00f6re yap\u0131lacak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler neticesinde ve ortakla\u015fa belirlenecek bir takvim \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde Birlik’ten pek\u00e2l\u00e2 ayr\u0131labilir. Ama s\u00f6zkonusu olan \u0130ngiltere’nin ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 olunca bu mekanizman\u0131n i\u015fletilmesinin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca geciktirilmesini isteyenlerin say\u0131s\u0131 daha fazla. Zira \u0130ngiltere’nin AB’nin d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kal\u0131\u015f\u0131 belki Birlik’in \u00e7\u00f6kmesine sebep olmaz ama zaten siyasal b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme hedefinden fazlas\u0131yla uzakla\u015fm\u0131\u015f olan \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn 1992’deki Maastricht Antla\u015fmas\u0131 \u00f6ncesindeki g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmi\u015f ortak pazar d\u00fczeyine inmesine yol a\u00e7abilir. Ayr\u0131ca, AB’nin uluslararas\u0131 alandaki itibar\u0131n\u0131n da erozyona u\u011frayaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde, \u0130ngiltereli veya \u0130ngilteresiz AB’nin yeni \u015feklinin tart\u0131\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6nemli platformlar\u0131n olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 hi\u00e7 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olmayacakt\u0131r. AB’nin mevcut yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 hususunda \u00e7ok geni\u015f bir siyasi, b\u00fcrokratik ve akademik mutabakat vard\u0131r. E\u011fer AB b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme alanlar\u0131n\u0131n, “halkalar” halinde yeniden tan\u0131mlanaca\u011f\u0131 ve hangi niteliklere sahip olan \u00fcyelerin, hangi “halkalara” kat\u0131labilece\u011finin kriterleri belirlenece\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar ba\u015flat\u0131l\u0131rsa, bu geli\u015fme \u015f\u00fcphesiz T\u00fcrkiye’yi de yak\u0131ndan ilgilendirecektir. Temmuz 2010’dan bu yana donmu\u015f olan m\u00fczakere s\u00fcrecinin \u0130rlanda d\u00f6nem ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131labilecek bir fas\u0131lla yeniden ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 \u00fcmit edilse de, AB \u00fclkelerinin \u00e7o\u011funda T\u00fcrkiye’nin yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde tam \u00fcye olabilece\u011fine dair bir beklenti yoktur. B\u00f6yle bir beklentinin ancak hayal \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc olabilece\u011fi T\u00fcrkiye’de de payla\u015f\u0131lan bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Dahas\u0131, daha \u00f6nce Almanya ve Fransa taraf\u0131ndan dile getirilen “imtiyazl\u0131 ortakl\u0131k” konusunun, bu kez “esnek entegrasyon” kapsam\u0131nda tan\u0131mlanmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu olabilecektir. Yani, AB kendi yap\u0131sal d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm s\u00fcrecini h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131rken, b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme “halkalar\u0131ndan” hangilerine kat\u0131labilece\u011fi konusunda da T\u00fcrkiye’ye birtak\u0131m teklifler getirebilecektir. Bu noktada Ankara e\u015f zamanl\u0131 iki ad\u0131m\u0131 acilen atmal\u0131d\u0131r. Birincisi, AB’nin nas\u0131l bir bi\u00e7im alabilece\u011fi konusundaki tart\u0131\u015fmalar yak\u0131ndan takip edilmeli, alternatifli senaryolar haz\u0131rlanmal\u0131d\u0131r. Hen\u00fcz somutla\u015fan hi\u00e7bir model olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bu son derece g\u00fc\u00e7 ve uzmanl\u0131k isteyen bir giri\u015fim olacakt\u0131r. Fakat T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 yapmas\u0131, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre sonra kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fi yenilenmi\u015f AB tablosunun m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funca az s\u00fcrpriz i\u00e7ermesi sonucunu verecektir. T\u00fcrkiye’nin atmas\u0131 gereken ikinci ad\u0131m ise do\u011frudan kendi \u00fcyeli\u011finin niteli\u011fiyle ilgilidir. T\u00fcrkiye, AB’ye tam \u00fcye olmak isteyip istemedi\u011fi sorusuna fazlaca tak\u0131lmadan, muhtemel b\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme alanlar\u0131ndan hangisine \u00f6ncelikli olarak kat\u0131lmak istedi\u011finin karar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden vermelidir. Kamuoyu taraf\u0131ndan, T\u00fcrkiye’nin tam \u00fcyelik hedefinden tamamen vazge\u00e7ti\u011fi \u015feklinde yorumlanabilecek a\u00e7\u0131klama ve davran\u0131\u015flarda bulunmak T\u00fcrkiye’nin AB kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki pazarl\u0131k pay\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr. Fakat devlet ciddiyeti reel durumu g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak, hayalci olmayan \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmlemelere dayal\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131klar yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirir. AB’nin ak\u0131betinin hay\u0131r m\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 bilinmez ama Ankara Anla\u015fmas\u0131’n\u0131n 50. y\u0131l d\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde halen kap\u0131s\u0131nda bekletildi\u011fimiz AB ile ili\u015fkilerimizin hay\u0131rl\u0131 \u015fekilde seyredebilmesi i\u00e7in istikbale yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmam\u0131z gerekti\u011fi ortadad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130ngiltere Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 David Cameron’un, \u00fclkesinin AB \u00fcyeli\u011fiyle ilgili s\u00f6zleri Br\u00fcksel’de k\u0131yameti kopard\u0131. Cameron, 2015’te yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerde Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti’nin tekrar iktidara gelmesi halinde, \u0130ngiltere’nin AB \u00fcyeli\u011fi konusunu referanduma g\u00f6t\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. Almanya ve Fransa’yla birlikte AB’nin en \u00f6nemli \u00fc\u00e7 \u00fclkesinden birinin Birlik’ten \u00e7\u0131kma ihtimalinin belirmesi, gelecek g\u00fcnlerin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n tek uluslar\u00fcst\u00fc \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc i\u00e7in pek parlak olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi. Asl\u0131nda […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14474,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1446","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1446","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1446"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1446\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13241,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1446\/revisions\/13241"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14474"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1446"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1446"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1446"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}