{"id":1316,"date":"2012-04-03T09:10:41","date_gmt":"2012-04-03T06:10:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1316"},"modified":"2024-03-07T17:51:10","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T14:51:10","slug":"israil-irani-vurursa-ne-olur-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1316","title":{"rendered":"\u0130srail \u0130ran’\u0131 vurursa ne olur? (03.04.2012) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"

RAHATSIZLIK B\u0130R MESAJ MI? <\/strong>Tansiyon sorununu ileri s\u00fcrerek Ba\u015fbakan’la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesini bir g\u00fcn erteleyen Ahmedinecad, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Obama’n\u0131n mesaj\u0131n\u0131 kendisine iletecek olan Erdo\u011fan’a kendi akl\u0131nca diplomatik bir mesaj vermek ve \u00fclkesinin d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelen bask\u0131lara direnece\u011fini g\u00f6stermek istemi\u015f olabilir. MAL\u0130K\u0130’Y\u0130 KI\u015eKIRTIYORLAR <\/strong>Esad rejimini desteklemekten vazge\u00e7meyen \u0130ran’\u0131n bu tutumunun T\u00fcrkiye’de tasvip g\u00f6rmesi elbette beklenemez. Nuri el Maliki’yi k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtarak, Irak’ta bir mezhep \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckleyen de Tahran’d\u0131r. \u00d6nce Azerbaycan’\u0131n \u0130srail’den 1 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde maliyeti olan savunma malzemesi sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6\u011frendik. Ard\u0131ndan Azerbaycan’da bir hava \u00fcss\u00fcn\u00fcn \u0130srail sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131na tahsis edildi\u011fi haberi ajanslara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Her iki konu da, Azerbaycan-\u0130srail askeri ili\u015fkilerinin neleri kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, \u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik bir sald\u0131r\u0131da Azerbaycan’\u0131n nas\u0131l bir i\u015flev g\u00f6rebilece\u011fi sorusunu ak\u0131llara getirdi. Son aylarda iyice gerginle\u015fen Azerbaycan-\u0130ran ili\u015fkileri, Bak\u00fc y\u00f6netiminin \u0130srail’le bu yak\u0131nla\u015fma hamlesinden sonra b\u00fcy\u00fck bir krizin e\u015fi\u011fine geldi. S\u00f6z konusu haberler Ba\u015fbakan Erdo\u011fan’\u0131n G\u00fcney Kore’deki N\u00fckleer G\u00fcvenlik Zirvesi’nin hemen ard\u0131ndan gitti\u011fi \u0130ran’da Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Ahmedinecad’la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesinden \u00f6nce yay\u0131nland\u0131. Tansiyon sorununu ileri s\u00fcrerek Ba\u015fbakan’la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesini bir g\u00fcn erteleyen Ahmedinecat, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Obama’n\u0131n mesaj\u0131n\u0131 kendisine iletecek olan Erdo\u011fan’a kendi akl\u0131nca diplomatik bir mesaj vermek ve \u00fclkesinin d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelen bask\u0131lara direnece\u011fini g\u00f6stermek istemi\u015f olabilir. H\u00e2lbuki \u0130ran’\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir felaketten kurtulmas\u0131n\u0131 engellemek i\u00e7in samimi gayret g\u00f6steren tek \u00fclke T\u00fcrkiye’dir. IRAK’I TAHR\u0130K ED\u0130YORLAR<\/strong>T\u00fcrkiye’nin \u0130ran konusundaki hassasiyeti dini lider Hamaney’in veya \u00fclkesindeki siyasal otoritesi giderek azalan Ahmedinecad’\u0131n kara ka\u015f\u0131n\u0131, kara g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc sevdi\u011finden de\u011fildir. Bilakis y\u00fczy\u0131llard\u0131r oldu\u011fu gibi bug\u00fcn de T\u00fcrkiye ve \u0130ran’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda birbiriyle ayr\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Suriye’de binlerce insan\u0131n katledilmesine ra\u011fmen Esad rejimini desteklemekten vazge\u00e7meyen \u0130ran’\u0131n bu tutumunun T\u00fcrkiye’de tasvip g\u00f6rmesi elbette beklenemez. Nuri el Maliki’yi k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtarak, Irak’ta bir mezhep \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckleyen de Tahran’d\u0131r. Irak’a huzur, s\u00fck\u00fbnet ve istikrar gelmesi i\u00e7in taraflara e\u015fit mesafesini koruyarak yap\u0131c\u0131 politikalar geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan T\u00fcrkiye’nin att\u0131\u011f\u0131 her ad\u0131m \u0130ran taraf\u0131ndan baltalanmaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye’nin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi Irak’a Kom\u015fu \u00dclkeler toplant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n etkisizle\u015fmesi ve art\u0131k d\u00fczenlenemez hale gelmesinde Tahran y\u00f6netiminin pay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fcr. L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n istikrars\u0131zla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda Suriye kadar \u0130ran da vebal alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. Bir asker\u00ee helikopterin Azerbaycan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 ihlal etmesi olay\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi, \u0130ran kuzeydeki kom\u015fusuyla da gerilimi t\u0131rmand\u0131rma e\u011filimdedir. \u0130HT\u0130MALLER YUMA\u011eI <\/strong>Her \u00fclkenin hakk\u0131 olan bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l ama\u00e7larla n\u00fckleer enerjiye sahip olma yolunda \u00f6nemli mesafeler kaydeden \u0130ran y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc program\u0131n “atom bombas\u0131” elde etmeye d\u00f6n\u00fck olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda uluslararas\u0131 toplumu bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc ikna edememi\u015ftir. \u0130ran s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011funda, \u0130srail lobisinin etkisi alt\u0131ndaki Amerikan medyas\u0131 konuyu abart\u0131yor olabilir; n\u00fckleer yak\u0131t tekelini kaybetmek istemeyen Bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeler gereksiz yere seslerini y\u00fckseltiyor olabilirler; Basra K\u00f6rfezi’nin denetimi konusunda \u0130ran’la rekabet halinde olan Suudi Arabistan \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik bask\u0131lar\u0131n artmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor olabilir; petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesiyle b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u00e2rlar elde eden enerji lobisi \u0130ran’\u0131n “direnmekten” vazge\u00e7memesi i\u00e7in \u00e7abal\u0131yor olabilir. \u00d6yle olsa da, Tahran’\u0131n art\u0131k kesinlikle n\u00fckleer silah pe\u015finde ko\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda, bug\u00fcne kadarkilerden daha inand\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 s\u00f6ylemlerle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve d\u00fcnyay\u0131 ikna edecek somut ad\u0131mlar atmas\u0131 gerekir. \u0130ran, kum saatindeki son tanelerin de d\u00fc\u015fmekte oldu\u011funu fark etmeyerek, bug\u00fcne kadar oldu\u011fu gibi, zaman kazanmaya y\u00f6nelik, oyalay\u0131c\u0131, ciddiye almaz tavr\u0131n\u0131 devam ettirirse, ileriki g\u00fcnlerde b\u00f6lgede ya\u015fanabileceklerin de ba\u015f sorumlusu olur. O zaman Bat\u0131’n\u0131n \u00e7oktan d\u0131\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ahmedinecat’\u0131n y\u00fcz\u00fcne ne G\u00fcl ne de Erdo\u011fan bakar. FALAKET\u0130N \u0130LK ADIMI OLAB\u0130L\u0130R <\/strong>T\u00fcrkiye’nin \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131ndan kaynaklanan krizin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bu kadar aktif olmas\u0131n\u0131n sebebi, \u0130ran kadar \u0130srail’e de g\u00fcvenmemesinden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Daha \u00f6nce Irak ve Suriye’yi benzer sebeplerle vurmaktan \u00e7ekinmeyen \u0130srail’in t\u00fcm Orta Do\u011fu’nun kan g\u00f6l\u00fcne d\u00f6nece\u011fini bile bile kendisi i\u00e7in bir tehdit hissetti\u011finde \u0130ran’a da sald\u0131rmaktan \u00e7ekinmeyece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Ba\u015fbakan Erdo\u011fan’\u0131n \u0130ran ziyaretinden d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde ifade etti\u011fi gibi, \u0130ran’\u0131n vurulmas\u0131 “b\u00f6lgenin yerle yeksan olmas\u0131na” yol a\u00e7acak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir felaketin ilk ad\u0131m\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma \u0130ran’la \u0130srail aras\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmayacak, ba\u015fta Suudi Arabistan olmak \u00fczere b\u00f6lge \u00fclkelerinin baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 topyek\u00fbn bir sava\u015fa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilecektir. Zaten fokur fokur kaynamakta olan Orta Do\u011fu kazan\u0131, b\u00f6yle bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla infilak edecek, \u00e7ok uzun y\u0131llar boyunca giderilemeyecek “daimi istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k” durumu b\u00f6lgeyi rehin alacakt\u0131r. \u0130sail’in \u0130ran’\u0131 vurmas\u0131yla ba\u015flayabilecek “daimi istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k”, Suriye, L\u00fcbnan, Irak ve \u00dcrd\u00fcn’de i\u00e7 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n alevlenmesine, hatta bir s\u00fcre sonra s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fmesine yol a\u00e7abilecektir. Eli kula\u011f\u0131nda olan Irak’\u0131n kuzeyinde yeni bir devletin ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k ilan\u0131 tam da b\u00f6yle bir ortamda ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir. Suriye’nin, \u015eam merkezli bir S\u00fcnni ve Lazkiye merkezli bir Nusayri devletine b\u00f6l\u00fcnmesi ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz hale gelebilir. L\u00fcbnan devleti ortadan kalkabilir. \u00dcrd\u00fcn’\u00fcn bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Filistin Devleti’nin olabilir. \u0130ran’da rejimin de\u011fi\u015fmesini isteyenlerin d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan desteklenen bir ayaklanma ba\u015flatmalar\u0131yla, \u00fclkede i\u00e7 sava\u015f ba\u015flayabilir. FIRSAT VAR <\/strong>B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar olmaz da, \u0130ran t\u00fcm bask\u0131lara ra\u011fmen n\u00fckleer silah yapmay\u0131 ba\u015farabilirse, bu kez de kendilerini tehdit alt\u0131nda hisseden di\u011fer b\u00f6lge \u00fclkeleri n\u00fckleer silah programlar\u0131 ba\u015flatabilirler. Orta Do\u011fu, bir n\u00fckleer silahlanma yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na sahne olabilir. B\u00f6lgesel So\u011fuk Sava\u015f’\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131, ABD ve SSCB aras\u0131ndaki gerilimden farkl\u0131 olarak, taraflar aras\u0131nda “yumu\u015famaya” de\u011fil, n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n da kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplu intihar eylemine yol a\u00e7abilir. Bir di\u011fer ihtimal, \u0130ran’\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye’ye kulak vererek \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131nca i\u015fler yapmaktan vazge\u00e7mesi, akl\u0131selimle hareket etmesi ve bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l n\u00fckleer program\u0131n\u0131 Uluslararas\u0131 Atom Enerjisi Ajans\u0131 g\u00f6zetiminde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesidir. Bat\u0131’yla bar\u0131\u015fman\u0131n en \u00f6nemli a\u015famas\u0131 b\u00f6ylece ge\u00e7ilecektir. Bat\u0131’yla bar\u0131\u015f\u0131k \u0130ran ise, b\u00f6lgede bar\u0131\u015f, istikrar ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fin sa\u011flanmas\u0131nda \u00f6nlemli bir rol \u00fcstlenebilecektir. Suudi Arabistan’\u0131 ziyareti s\u0131ras\u0131nda ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Clinton’un a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 konusunda y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen “5+1” toplant\u0131s\u0131 13 Nisan’da \u0130stanbul’da ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilecek. Tahran’\u0131n bu f\u0131rsat\u0131 heba etmemesi, a\u011f\u0131zlar\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmedikleri “\u0130slam d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n selameti” i\u00e7in gereklidir.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RAHATSIZLIK B\u0130R MESAJ MI? Tansiyon sorununu ileri s\u00fcrerek Ba\u015fbakan’la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesini bir g\u00fcn erteleyen Ahmedinecad, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Obama’n\u0131n mesaj\u0131n\u0131 kendisine iletecek olan Erdo\u011fan’a kendi akl\u0131nca diplomatik bir mesaj vermek ve \u00fclkesinin d\u0131\u015far\u0131dan gelen bask\u0131lara direnece\u011fini g\u00f6stermek istemi\u015f olabilir. MAL\u0130K\u0130’Y\u0130 KI\u015eKIRTIYORLAR Esad rejimini desteklemekten vazge\u00e7meyen \u0130ran’\u0131n bu tutumunun T\u00fcrkiye’de tasvip g\u00f6rmesi elbette beklenemez. Nuri el Maliki’yi k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtarak, Irak’ta bir mezhep […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13395,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1316","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1316"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1316\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13396,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1316\/revisions\/13396"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1316"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1316"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1316"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}