{"id":1264,"date":"2011-12-06T08:47:38","date_gmt":"2011-12-06T06:47:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1264"},"modified":"2024-03-07T22:33:13","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T19:33:13","slug":"2012-buyuklerin-secim-yili-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1264","title":{"rendered":"2012 b\u00fcy\u00fcklerin se\u00e7im y\u0131l\u0131 (06.12.2011) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD, RUSYA VE FRANSA’DA… \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6nemli \u00fclkede devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imleri yap\u0131lacak. 4 Mart 2012’de Rusya Federasyonu’ndaki se\u00e7imi, 22 Nisan’da (ikinci tur 6 May\u0131s’ta) Fransa’da, 6 Kas\u0131m’da ise ABD’de yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imler takip edecek. D\u00dcNYA S\u0130YASET\u0130NE ETK\u0130 EDEB\u0130L\u0130R \u00dc\u00e7 se\u00e7imde de s\u00fcrpriz sonu\u00e7lar \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f var. Fakat se\u00e7menin ne yapaca\u011f\u0131 hi\u00e7 belli olmaz! Bu \u00fc\u00e7 se\u00e7im, 2013’ten itibaren hem d\u00fcnya siyasetine hem de b\u00f6lgemize yak\u0131ndan etki edecek sonu\u00e7lar verebilir. \u00dc\u00e7 \u00fclkenin de Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi’nin daimi \u00fcyesi ve G-8 \u00fclkesi olmas\u0131 yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 son derece \u00f6nemli hale getiriyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6nemli \u00fclkede devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imleri yap\u0131lacak. 4 Mart 2012’de Rusya Federasyonu’ndaki se\u00e7imi, 22 Nisan’da (ikinci tur 6 May\u0131s’ta) Fransa’da, 6 Kas\u0131m’da ise ABD’de yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imler takip edecek. \u00dc\u00e7 \u00fclkenin de Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi’nin daimi \u00fcyesi ve G-8 \u00fclkesi olmas\u0131 yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imlerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 son derece \u00f6nemli hale getiriyor. Hen\u00fcz epey bir zaman olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, \u00fc\u00e7 se\u00e7imde de s\u00fcrpriz sonu\u00e7lar \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6zleniyor. Ama se\u00e7menin ne yapaca\u011f\u0131 hi\u00e7 belli olmaz! PUT\u0130N YEN\u0130DEN… Rusya Federasyonu’nda 27 Kas\u0131m’da aday belirleme kongresi yapan, iktidardaki Birle\u015fik Rusya Partisi delegeleri, daha \u00f6nce iki d\u00f6nem devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015f mevcut ba\u015fbakan Vladimir Putin’i, oy birli\u011fiyle devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in aday g\u00f6sterdi. Parti’nin Eyl\u00fcl’de yap\u0131lan kongresinde, Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Dimitri Medvedev 2012 se\u00e7imi i\u00e7in aday olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015f ve Putin’i aday g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Zaten 2008’de Medvedev’in devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131, Putin’in ba\u015fbakan oldu\u011fu se\u00e7imden hemen sonra, bir d\u00f6nem “dinlendikten” sonra Putin’in 2012’de tekrar devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 koltu\u011funa oturaca\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131 yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Hatta T\u00fcrkiye’de Ba\u015fbakan Erdo\u011fan’\u0131n Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olmas\u0131 halinde, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 G\u00fcl’\u00fcn de, Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa oturmas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ileri s\u00fcrenler, “Putin Form\u00fcl\u00fc” nitelemesini bir s\u00fcredir yapmaktayd\u0131lar. G\u00dcNDEMDEN H\u0130\u00c7 \u00c7IKMADI Asl\u0131nda Putin son d\u00f6rt y\u0131ld\u0131r Rusya’n\u0131n siyasi g\u00fcndeminden hi\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131. Daha \u00f6nceki ba\u015fbakanlar\u0131n medyada neredeyse hi\u00e7 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmedi\u011fi hat\u0131rlan\u0131rsa, Putin’in Medvedev’den bile daha \u00f6n planda kalmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmek gerekir. Putin’i, kimi zaman judo yaparken, kimi zaman avlan\u0131rken, kimi zaman da di\u015f\u00e7i aletleriyle k\u0131zd\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir valiyi azarlarken televizyon ekranlar\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Her ne kadar ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k makam\u0131n\u0131 dolduruyor gibi g\u00f6z\u00fckse de, son alt\u0131 y\u0131ld\u0131r da Rusya’y\u0131 ger\u00e7ekte Putin y\u00f6netmekteydi. \u0130\u00e7 ve d\u0131\u015f politikaya Medvedev de\u011fil, Putin damgas\u0131n\u0131 vurmaya devam etti. ‘YEN\u0130 \u00c7AR’ DEN\u0130L\u0130YOR Rusya’da yap\u0131lan kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131nda halk\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %40’\u0131n\u0131n Putin’e oy vereceklerini dile getirmeleri, se\u00e7imin galibinin \u015fimdiden belli oldu\u011fu yorumlar\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. 1996, 2000 ve 2008 se\u00e7imlerinde devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na aday olan ama her seferinde ikinci gelen, Kom\u00fcnist Parti lideri Gennadi Zuganov’un bir defa daha aday olaca\u011f\u0131na da kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131l\u0131yor. Bir di\u011fer aday ise, T\u00fcrkiye’de yak\u0131ndan tan\u0131nan Liberal Demokrat Parti lideri Vladimir Zirinovski. Zuganov ve Zirinovski’nin Putin’i “y\u0131kabilecek” potansiyele sahip olduklar\u0131n\u0131 kimse d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Bu durumda, kendisine “Yeni \u00c7ar” da denilen Putin’i, mart ay\u0131ndan itibaren tekrar devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rme ihtimalimiz ger\u00e7ekten de y\u00fcksek. SARKOZY KES\u0130N G\u0130B\u0130 22 Nisan’da Fransa’da yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imde de bir s\u00fcrpriz olmazsa, mevcut devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 Nicholas Sarkozy’nin ilk turdan birinci \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131na kesin g\u00f6z\u00fcyle bak\u0131l\u0131yor. Ama ikinci tur i\u00e7in hesaplar \u00e7ok farkl\u0131. Sarkozy’nin en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc rakibi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen Sosyalist Parti’nin potansiyel devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 adaylar\u0131ndan, eski IMF ba\u015fkan\u0131 Dominique Strauss-Kahn’\u0131n bir skandalla yar\u0131\u015f d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, Sarkozy’nin rahatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 zannedilse de, asl\u0131nda Fransa’daki durum, Putin’in kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6nde oldu\u011fu Rusya’dakinden hayli de\u011fi\u015fik. \u0130lk turdan birinci \u00e7\u0131ksa bile, en \u00e7ok oyu alan iki aday\u0131n yar\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131 6 May\u0131s’taki ikinci turda, Sarkozy’nin hayli zorlanabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u0131rk\u00e7\u0131 Jean Marie Le Pen’in k\u0131z\u0131 Milliyet\u00e7i Cephe lideri Marine Le Pen’in, ortan\u0131n sa\u011f\u0131ndaki oylar\u0131 toplay\u0131p, Sarkozy’i koltu\u011fundan edebilece\u011fi yorumunu yapanlar hi\u00e7 de az de\u011fil. Sarkozy’nin, sa\u011f oylar\u0131 kendi isminin etraf\u0131nda toplayabilmek i\u00e7in, se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda daha fazla “M\u00fcsl\u00fcman kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131” ve yabanc\u0131 d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131 bir s\u00f6ylem benimseyece\u011fi tahmin edilebilir. Hatta daha \u00f6nceki se\u00e7imlerde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, T\u00fcrkiye’nin AB \u00fcyeli\u011fine a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 baz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar da gelecektir. SOSYAL\u0130STLER H\u00c2L\u00c2 \u015eOKTA Sosyalist Parti kurmaylar\u0131 ise bir yandan Kahn \u015fokunu atlatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, di\u011fer yandan da 16 Eyl\u00fcl’de devlet ba\u015fkan\u0131 aday\u0131 olarak belirledikleri Fran\u00e7ois Hollande’\u0131n kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131yorlar. Ama Hollande’\u0131n Kahn’dan daha pop\u00fcler bir aday olaca\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u00fcpheli. 2007 se\u00e7imlerinde Sosyalist Parti’nin aday\u0131 olan ve Sarkozy’e kaybeden Segolene Royal’le birlikte ya\u015fayan ve ondan d\u00f6rt \u00e7ocuk babas\u0131 olan Hollande, se\u00e7imin hemen ard\u0131ndan Bayan Royal’den ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. T\u0131pk\u0131 Sarkozy gibi Hollande’\u0131n da Yahudi k\u00f6kenli olu\u015funun, \u0131rk\u00e7\u0131 Le Pen’in se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131nda ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kullan\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131nda g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. ABD’DE \u0130\u015eLER KARI\u015eIK 2012’nin son \u00f6nemli se\u00e7imi ise Kas\u0131m’da ABD’de yap\u0131lacak. Ba\u015fkan Barack Obama’n\u0131n 2008’de se\u00e7imi kazanmas\u0131, d\u00fcnyada b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcmitlerin do\u011fmas\u0131na sebep olmu\u015ftu. “Evet, yapabiliriz” slogan\u0131yla, ekonomik krizin \u00fcstesinden gelme s\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc veren Obama, pek \u00e7ok Amerikal\u0131 i\u00e7in tam bir hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 oldu. Obama’n\u0131n ekonomi politikas\u0131n\u0131 ve d\u0131\u015f politikada izledi\u011fi yolu ele\u015ftiri ya\u011fmuruna tutan bir grup Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti \u00fcyesinin 2009’da olu\u015fturdu\u011fu \u00c7ay Partisi (Tea Party) hareketi, Obama’ya kar\u015f\u0131 Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti i\u00e7inden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir aday\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kartmak i\u00e7in yo\u011fun \u00e7aba g\u00f6steriyor, b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda da Teksas Milletvekili Ron Paul’\u00fc destekliyor. Eski Massachusetts Valisi Mitt Romney ve Teksas Valisi Rick Perry de Cumhuriyet\u00e7i Parti de \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131. Bu isimlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, yine \u00c7ay Partisi’nin destekledi\u011fi Minnesota Milletvekili Michelle Bachmann ve Amerikan siyasetinin renkli isimlerinden, eski Temsilciler Meclisi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Newt Gingrich ve eski Pennsylvania senat\u00f6r\u00fc Rick Santorum da \u00f6n se\u00e7imlere girecek. Zenci oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in Obama’ya di\u015fli bir rakip olabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen i\u015f adam\u0131 Herman Cain ise, bir dizi skandal\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 3 Aral\u0131k’ta aday adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7ekildi. YAKINDAN TAK\u0130P EDECE\u011e\u0130Z Demokrat Parti i\u00e7inden Ba\u015fkan Obama’ya rakip olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayan isimler aras\u0131nda Florida’l\u0131 tarih\u00e7i ve stratejist Darcy Richardson, performans sanat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Vermin Supreme ve Bat\u0131 Virginial\u0131 Randall Terry gibi, \u00e7ok fazla tan\u0131nmayan ve ba\u015fkan adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fanslar\u0131 bulunmayan isimler var. Elbette, ABD’de siyaset yapan di\u011fer partiler de ba\u015fkan adaylar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fu aralar belirlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar. Ye\u015fil Parti, Liberal Parti, Sosyalizm ve \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fck Partisi ve Anayasa Partisi’nin g\u00f6sterece\u011fi adaylar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, birka\u00e7 ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z aday da se\u00e7imlere girecek. Ama her zaman oldu\u011fu gibi se\u00e7im Demokratlar ve Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler aras\u0131nda ge\u00e7ecek. Obama’n\u0131n kazanma ihtimali y\u00fcksek olsa da, 2010 n\u00fcfus say\u0131m\u0131ndan sonra, evvelce Demokrat Parti’nin kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 6 eyalette ikincil se\u00e7men say\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, Obama i\u00e7in bir dezavantaj olu\u015fturmu\u015f gibi de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n bu \u00fc\u00e7 se\u00e7imi, 2013’ten itibaren hem d\u00fcnya siyasetine, hem de b\u00f6lgemizdeki geli\u015fmelere yak\u0131ndan etki edecek sonu\u00e7lar verebilir. Bu sebeple, \u00fc\u00e7 se\u00e7im s\u00fcrecini de yak\u0131ndan takip etmeye devam edece\u011fiz…<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD, RUSYA VE FRANSA’DA… \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l \u00fc\u00e7 \u00f6nemli \u00fclkede devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imleri yap\u0131lacak. 4 Mart 2012’de Rusya Federasyonu’ndaki se\u00e7imi, 22 Nisan’da (ikinci tur 6 May\u0131s’ta) Fransa’da, 6 Kas\u0131m’da ise ABD’de yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7imler takip edecek. D\u00dcNYA S\u0130YASET\u0130NE ETK\u0130 EDEB\u0130L\u0130R \u00dc\u00e7 se\u00e7imde de s\u00fcrpriz sonu\u00e7lar \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131 yorumlar\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f var. Fakat se\u00e7menin ne yapaca\u011f\u0131 hi\u00e7 belli olmaz! Bu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13585,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1264","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1264","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1264"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1264\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13585"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1264"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1264"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1264"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}