{"id":1124,"date":"2011-02-01T13:54:07","date_gmt":"2011-02-01T11:54:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1124"},"modified":"2024-03-07T23:14:33","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T20:14:33","slug":"misirda-son-soz-ordunun-turkiye-gazetesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/?p=1124","title":{"rendered":"M\u0131s\u0131r’da son s\u00f6z ordunun (01.02.2011) T\u00fcrkiye Gazetesi"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130K\u0130 UNSURA GUVEN\u0130YOR<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u00fcsn\u00fc M\u00fcbarek i\u00e7eride ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131da iki unsura g\u00fcveniyor. \u0130\u00e7erideki g\u00fcvencesi \u015fu: Y\u0131llarca y\u00fcksek maa\u015f ve l\u00fcks lojmanlar tahsis ederek kendisine s\u0131k\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131ya ba\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ordu, onun s\u00f6z\u00fcnden \u00e7\u0131kmayacakt\u0131r. ABD G\u00d6ZDEN \u00c7IKARIR MI? M\u00fcbarek’in d\u0131\u015far\u0131da g\u00fcvendi\u011fi unsur ise \u015fu: ABD, 1978’de imzalanan Camp David anla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan bu yana Washington’un b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na sadakatle hizmet eden M\u0131s\u0131r’\u0131 ve kendisini g\u00f6zden \u00e7\u0131karmaz. Tunus’ta Zeynel Abidin Bin Ali’nin bir halk hareketiyle devrilmesinden hemen sonra M\u0131s\u0131r sokaklar\u0131n\u0131n kar\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 b\u00f6lgeyi yak\u0131ndan izleyen hi\u00e7 kimse i\u00e7in s\u00fcrpriz olmad\u0131. 1981’de iktidara geldikten sonra, M\u0131s\u0131r ordusunu, istihbarat birimlerini ve polisi arkas\u0131na alarak \u00fclkeyi kat\u0131 bir rejimle idare eden H\u00fcsn\u00fc M\u00fcbarek’in, Bin Ali gibi koltu\u011funu b\u0131rakarak gitmek yerine, kabineyi g\u00f6revden almak ve bir ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 atamak gibi birka\u00e7 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck g\u00f6z boyama hamlesi yaparak \u00fclkeyi y\u00f6netmeye devam etmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sadece inat\u00e7\u0131l\u0131kla izah etmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. M\u00fcbarek biri i\u00e7eride, di\u011feri d\u0131\u015far\u0131da iki unsura g\u00fcveniyor. \u0130\u00e7eride, y\u0131llar boyunca kendisine s\u0131k\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131ya ba\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131, ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerindeki maa\u015flardan, kal\u0131n duvarlarla M\u0131s\u0131r ger\u00e7eklerinden soyutlanm\u0131\u015f l\u00fcks lojmanlara kadar \u00e7ok say\u0131da ayr\u0131cal\u0131k verdi\u011fi M\u0131s\u0131r Ordusu’nun kendi s\u00f6z\u00fcnden \u00e7\u0131kmayaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yor. Tunus’ta, sokaklara d\u00f6k\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f halka kur\u015fun s\u0131kmay\u0131 reddederek, Bin Ali’nin \u00fclkeyi terk etmesine yol a\u00e7an silahl\u0131 kuvvetlerin aksine, M\u0131s\u0131r ordusunun gerekirse g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanmaktan \u00e7ekinmeyece\u011fini hesap ediyor. Bu konuda yan\u0131l\u0131p, yan\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterilerin h\u0131z kesmemesi durumunda,?\u00e7ok?k\u0131sa?bir?s\u00fcre?i\u00e7inde?g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. BA\u015eKASI BULUNAMADI M\u00fcbarek’in d\u0131\u015far\u0131da g\u00fcvendi\u011fi unsur ise ABD. Selefi Enver Sedat d\u00f6neminden ba\u015flayarak,?Orta Do\u011fu’da ABD’nin en fazla g\u00fcvendi\u011fi devletlerin ba\u015f\u0131nda gelen M\u0131s\u0131r, 1978’de imzalanan Camp David anla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan bu yana Washington’un b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na sadakatle?hizmet?ediyor. Sedat, Arap Birli\u011fi’nden at\u0131lmay\u0131 bile g\u00f6ze alarak \u0130srail’le bar\u0131\u015f antla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalam\u0131\u015f ve bu \u00fclkeyle diplomatik ili\u015fkiler kurmu\u015ftu. Sedat’\u0131n \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmesinden sonra yerine ge\u00e7en M\u00fcbarek de, \u0130srail’le diyalo\u011fu devam ettirerek, Arap d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n Filistin davas\u0131nda tek ses olabilmesini engelledi.?1948, 1967 ve 1973 sava\u015flar\u0131nda \u0130srail’e kar\u015f\u0131 Arap \u00fclkelerine \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck yapan M\u0131s\u0131r’\u0131n tutum de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi, b\u00f6lgede en fazla \u0130srail’in i\u015fine geldi. M\u00fcbarek kendisine bi\u00e7ilen, Bat\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131, “s\u00f6z dinleyen” Arap lideri olma rol\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015far\u0131yla ifa etmesinin kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da, y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama 2 milyar dolarl\u0131k ABD yard\u0131m\u0131 alarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD’de Clinton ve Bush d\u00f6nemlerinde M\u0131s\u0131r y\u00f6netimi, “radikal dinci” ak\u0131mlar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7mesini bahane ederek, \u00fclkede yap\u0131lan se\u00e7imlerde demokrasiyle ba\u011fda\u015fmayan uygulamalar\u0131na pervas\u0131zca devam etti.?Baz\u0131 adaylar\u0131n se\u00e7ime girmeleri yasakland\u0131, oy say\u0131m\u0131nda usuls\u00fczl\u00fckler yap\u0131ld\u0131, muhalefet bask\u0131yla sindirildi. Washington y\u00f6netimi, kendisine sad\u0131k kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece M\u00fcbarek’in uygulamalar\u0131na g\u00f6z yumdu. Orta Do\u011fu b\u00f6lgesine demokrasi getirmekten s\u00f6z eden, Geni\u015fletilmi\u015f Orta Do\u011fu ve Kuzey Afrika Projesi’ne en b\u00fcy\u00fck direni\u015fi g\u00f6stermi\u015f olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, ABD M\u00fcbarek’i g\u00f6zden \u00e7\u0131karamad\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Washington y\u00f6netimi, M\u00fcbarek’in yerini doldurabilecek, ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Bat\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na hizmet edebilecek bir ba\u015fkas\u0131n\u0131 bulamad\u0131. ALTERNAT\u0130F; \u00d6MER S\u00dcLEYMAN M\u0131s\u0131r ordusunun nas\u0131l davranaca\u011f\u0131 da bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ABD’nin tutumuna endekslenmi\u015f durumda. Zira \u00fcst d\u00fczey generallerinin tamam\u0131 ABD taraf\u0131ndan e\u011fitilmi\u015f ve b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ABD’den al\u0131nan silahlara ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 silahl\u0131 kuvvetler, geleneksel olarak Bat\u0131 yanl\u0131s\u0131 bir kurum olarak bi\u00e7imlendirildi. Obama y\u00f6netimi, bir yandan M\u00fcbarek’e reform \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulunurken, di\u011fer yandan da M\u00fcbarek’ten sonra \u00fclkenin yine kendisine yak\u0131n bir lider taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilmesini sa\u011flaman\u0131n?yollar\u0131n\u0131 ar\u0131yor. Bu noktada Washington i\u00e7in \u00f6ncelikli olan M\u0131s\u0131r’\u0131n demokratik bir y\u00f6netime kavu\u015fmas\u0131 de\u011fil, \u00fclkenin, ABD \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na uygun bi\u00e7imde hareket etmesinin teminat alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131. Eyl\u00fcl’de yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7iminin, ger\u00e7ekten demokratik kurallara uygun ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesi halinde?sand\u0131ktan?M\u00fcsl\u00fcman?Karde\u015fler?\u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn destekledi\u011fi bir ki\u015finin \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini ta\u015f\u0131yan ABD M\u00fcbarek’in, en az kendisi kadar “g\u00fcvenilir” bir isme g\u00f6revi devredene kadar \u00fclkenin kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc tamamen kaybetmesini istemiyor. Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 ve Ba\u015fbakan?olarak?atanan?eski?istihbarat?\u015fefi \u00d6mer?S\u00fcleyman’\u0131n g\u00f6reve geli\u015fini de bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede de\u011ferlendirmek gerekir. Hem orduyu, hem de ABD’yi arkas\u0131na alan S\u00fcleyman, H\u00fcsn\u00fc M\u00fcbarek’i o\u011flu Cemal’in devlet ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fcmitlerini tamamen ortadan kald\u0131rabilir. SESS\u0130Z BEKLEYENLER Di\u011fer taraftan, \u00fclkedeki en organize muhalif \u00f6rg\u00fct olan M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler’in, liberallerin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi sokak hareketine destek vermeyerek, geri planda durmas\u0131, M\u00fcbarek y\u00f6netiminin direni\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc art\u0131r\u0131yor. M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler’in “bekle ve g\u00f6r” politikas\u0131 takip etmesinin arkas\u0131nda, M\u00fcbarek’in orduyu harekete ge\u00e7irmesi durumunda, do\u011frudan hedef olma endi\u015fesi yat\u0131yor. Nitekim 1982’de Suriye’nin Hama ve Humus ketlerinde Haf\u0131z Esad’\u0131n emriyle M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler’e kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen asker\u00ee operasyonda 25.000 ki\u015fi \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler b\u00f6yle bir katliam\u0131n hedefi haline gelmeden, gelecekteki M\u0131s\u0131r siyasi denkleminde en etkili unsurlardan biri olmaya devam etmek istiyor. Bunun yan\u0131nda, M\u00fcsl\u00fcman Karde\u015fler, kendilerini \u00e7ok iyi tan\u0131yan \u00d6mer S\u00fcleyman’la \u00fcst\u00fc \u00f6rt\u00fcl\u00fc bir i\u015fbirli\u011fi y\u00fcr\u00fctebileceklerini, kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda da siyasi avantaj sa\u011flayabileceklerini hesapl\u0131yorlar. ANKARA’NIN TUTUMU B\u00fct\u00fcn bunlar olup biterken, son y\u0131llarda Orta Do\u011fu’daki etkinli\u011finin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 iddia edilen T\u00fcrkiye’ye kimse d\u00f6n\u00fcp de, “Acaba Ankara ne diyor?” diye sormuyor. Zaten, L\u00fcbnan’daki h\u00fck\u00fcmet krizi s\u0131ras\u0131nda ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z bir arabuluculuk giri\u015fiminde bulunan T\u00fcrkiye’nin de, M\u0131s\u0131r geli\u015fmeleri hakk\u0131nda -Tunus’ta oldu\u011fu gibi- klasik “itidal \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131” d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131klama yok. Daha iki hafta \u00f6nce Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 G\u00fcl’\u00fcn elini s\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Yemen Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131’n\u0131 sallayan sokak g\u00f6sterileriyle ilgili de bir a\u00e7\u0131klamam\u0131z yok. T\u00fcrkiye’nin kendinden menkul de\u011fil, ger\u00e7ek bir b\u00f6lgesel lider oldu\u011funu ispatlayabilmesi i\u00e7in bu t\u00fcr kritik anlarda, daha aktif ve yap\u0131c\u0131 rollerle sahne almas\u0131 gerekmez miydi? E\u011fer demokrasiye ve insan haklar\u0131na g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destek vermek ger\u00e7ekten Yeni T\u00fcrk D\u0131\u015f Politikas\u0131’n\u0131n temel de\u011ferleri aras\u0131ndaysa, bu ilkeyi s\u00f6zde de\u011fil, \u00f6zde de savunmak laz\u0131md\u0131r. Diktat\u00f6rlerin de\u011fil, uydu televizyonlar\u0131 yoluyla T\u00fcrkiye’ye g\u00f6zlerini dikmi\u015f, demokrasiye susam\u0131\u015f halklar\u0131n yan\u0131nda olmak icap eder. G\u00d6STER\u0130LER G\u0130DEREK TIRMANIYOR Tunus’tan M\u0131s\u0131r’a da s\u0131\u00e7rayan g\u00f6steriler, Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 H\u00fcsn\u00fc M\u00fcbarek’in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6stermelik reform paketine ra\u011fmen durmak bilmiyor. \u015eiddet ve ya\u011fmaya kar\u015f\u0131 M\u00fcbarek’in en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fcvencesi ise M\u0131s\u0131r ordusu. Askerler \u00f6zellikle ya\u011fmac\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 son derece sert. Yakalanan ya\u011fmac\u0131lar tanklara zincirleniyor.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130K\u0130 UNSURA GUVEN\u0130YOR H\u00fcsn\u00fc M\u00fcbarek i\u00e7eride ve d\u0131\u015far\u0131da iki unsura g\u00fcveniyor. \u0130\u00e7erideki g\u00fcvencesi \u015fu: Y\u0131llarca y\u00fcksek maa\u015f ve l\u00fcks lojmanlar tahsis ederek kendisine s\u0131k\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131ya ba\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ordu, onun s\u00f6z\u00fcnden \u00e7\u0131kmayacakt\u0131r. ABD G\u00d6ZDEN \u00c7IKARIR MI? M\u00fcbarek’in d\u0131\u015far\u0131da g\u00fcvendi\u011fi unsur ise \u015fu: ABD, 1978’de imzalanan Camp David anla\u015fmalar\u0131ndan bu yana Washington’un b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na sadakatle hizmet eden M\u0131s\u0131r’\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13681,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1124","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazete"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1124"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1124\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13682,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1124\/revisions\/13682"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13681"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cagrierhan.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}